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Football prediction

Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Double chance : draw or Moreirense Review the Arouca vs Moreirense prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Primeira Liga.

Portugal flagPrimeira LigaPortugal flagPortugalAugust 16, 2026 17:00
Model advice Available Live board
Current fixture

Latest Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction – 16 August 2026

Arouca10%Home probability
Draw45%Draw probability
Moreirense45%Away probability
Prediction details

What the model returned

Winner signalMoreirense

Winner commentWin or draw

Expected home goals-1.5

Expected away goals-2.5

Prediction insight graph

Model signal shape

Signal edgeArouca10.3% gap
Arouca46.8%Defence 100%
Moreirense36.5%Attack 67%
100755025 Form Attack Defence Poisson H2H Goals
AroucaMoreirenseHover graph points for metric values
Form75% / 25%
Attacking potential33% / 67%
Defensive potential100% / 0
Poisson distribution0 / 0
Head to head40% / 60%
Goals H2H33% / 67%
Overall signal45.3% / 54.8%
Prediction analysis

Arouca vs Moreirense prediction analysis