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Primeira Liga
Benfica BenficaHome
LWWWW
Sunday, Jan 31, 2027 Lisbon
Moreirense MoreirenseAway
L

Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction

For Benfica vs Moreirense on January 31, 2027 in Primeira Liga, Portugal, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are Benfica 50%, draw 50% and Moreirense 0%. Expected goals are Benfica -3.5 and Moreirense -1.5. Model advice: Winner : Benfica. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Benfica50%
Draw50%
Moreirense0
Model adviceWinner : BenficaStrongest probability: 50%
Likely Score-3.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalBenficaModel winner
Double Chance—Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Benfica has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 50%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -3.5–-1.5.
  • Winner : Benfica

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form63% / 37%
Attacking potential68% / 32%
Defensive potential62% / 38%
Poisson distribution81% / 19%
Head to head93% / 7%
Goals H2H80% / 20%
Overall signal74.5% / 25.5%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Benfica
LWWWW
FC Porto1–3L
AC Milan2–0W
GIL Vicente3–1W
Moreirense4–0W
Maritimo3–0W
63% Form Rating 37%
Moreirense
L
GIL Vicente0–1L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Moreirense0–4Benfica
Benfica4–1Moreirense
Moreirense0–4Benfica
Benfica3–2Moreirense
Moreirense1–1Benfica
Benfica3–0Moreirense

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Benfica50%
Expected Score-3.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance—If supported
Prediction analysis

Benfica vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 9, 2026 · Primeira Liga0.00 / 50% / 50% · 0–4

April 25, 2026 · Primeira Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 4–1

December 14, 2025 · Primeira Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–4

February 8, 2025 · Primeira Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–2

August 30, 2024 · Primeira Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

April 14, 2024 · Primeira Liga0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–0