Football prediction

2. Bundesliga Matchday 11

1 Fc Magdeburg vs Fc St Pauli Prediction

1. FC Magdeburg host FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga (matchday 11) on Sunday 8 November, 13:30 WAT. Our model rates the match 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away), and the pick is 1. FC Magdeburg or draw (68%).

1. FC MagdeburgDWLWD

13:30Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

FC St. PauliDWDDL

Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg

Our prediction

1. FC Magdeburg or draw68% probability · best odds 1.47

38%30%32%

1. FC MagdeburgDrawFC St. Pauli

Most likely score: 1 - 0
Both teams to score: 62%
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.0
Double chance: 1X 68% · 12 70% · X2 62%

Model advice: Double chance : 1. FC Magdeburg or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	1. FC Magdeburg	FC St. Pauli
Results	DWLWD	DWDDL
Goals scored per game	2.2	1.0
Goals conceded per game	1.0	1.0

1. FC MagdeburgFC St. Pauli

57%

43%Form

69%

31%Attack

50%

50%Defence

61%

39%Poisson

29%

71%Head to head

33%

67%Goals

50%

50%Overall

Head-to-head

01. FC Magdeburg1Draws6FC St. Pauli

10 Feb 2024FC Magdeburg1 - 0FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
27 Aug 2023FC St. Pauli0 - 0FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
18 Feb 2023FC Magdeburg1 - 2FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
14 Aug 2022FC St. Pauli3 - 0FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
7 Aug 2021FC Magdeburg2 - 3FC St. PauliDFB Pokal
22 Dec 2018FC St. Pauli4 - 1FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga

Best odds (1X2)

1. FC Magdeburg2.40Pinnaclefair 40%

Draw3.62Marathonbetfair 26%

FC St. Pauli2.84Pinnaclefair 34%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.4%.

Compare all 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
1. FC Magdeburg	38%	39.8%	-1.8
Draw	30%	26.4%	+3.6
FC St. Pauli	32%	33.8%	-1.8

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

2. Bundesliga table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
5	1. FC Magdeburg	10	+8	17	DWLWD
8	FC St. Pauli	10	0	12	LDDWD

Full 2. Bundesliga table and predictions

Prediction analysis

1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli prediction and preview (8 Nov 2026 WAT)

This 2. Bundesliga matchday 11 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 13:30 WAT at Avnet-Arena. 1. FC Magdeburg are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (goal difference +8); FC St. Pauli are 8th with 12 points from 10 (0).

1. FC Magdeburg and FC St. Pauli form

1. FC Magdeburg have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (DWLWD) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches FC St. Pauli have managed 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (DWDDL). Over those games 1. FC Magdeburg averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, FC St. Pauli 1.0 and 1.0.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: 1. FC Magdeburg 38%, FC St. Pauli 32%, with 30% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.6 for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.0 for FC St. Pauli, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 48% and both teams to score (GG) 50%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: 1. FC Magdeburg in attack (69-31), 1. FC Magdeburg in form (57-43).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings 1. FC Magdeburg won 0, FC St. Pauli won 6 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.9 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 10 Feb 2024, finished FC Magdeburg 1-0 FC St. Pauli.

1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.40 for 1. FC Magdeburg (Pinnacle), 3.62 for the draw (Marathonbet) and 2.84 for FC St. Pauli (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 40% / 26% / 34%. Model and market agree closely, so there is no obvious price edge on the match result. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.67 and under at 2.30.

Our 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli prediction

The selection we are backing in 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: 1. FC Magdeburg or draw (68% confidence, best price 1.47). Correct score suggestion: 1-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?: The model gives 1. FC Magdeburg 38%, the draw 30% and FC St. Pauli 32%. Our tip is 1. FC Magdeburg or draw.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?: 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.6 and 1.0.
Will both teams score in 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?: GG is rated 50% by the model and the best GG price is 1.53.
When and where is 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?: Sunday 8 November, 13:30 WAT, 2. Bundesliga (matchday 11), Avnet-Arena.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.