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Eredivisie
Ajax AjaxHome
WLDDW
Date pending Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar AZ AlkmaarAway
DWLWL

Ajax vs Az Alkmaar Prediction

The Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar football prediction in Eredivisie, Netherlands uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Ajax 10%, draw 45% and AZ Alkmaar 45%. Expected goals are Ajax -3.5 and AZ Alkmaar -2.5. Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar and +1.5 goals. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Ajax10%
Draw45%
AZ Alkmaar45%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar and +1.5 goalsStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-3.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market+1.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalAZ AlkmaarWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • AZ Alkmaar has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -3.5–-2.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is +1.5.
  • Combo Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar and +1.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form58% / 42%
Attacking potential72% / 28%
Defensive potential50% / 50%
Poisson distribution47% / 53%
Head to head15% / 85%
Goals H2H19% / 81%
Overall signal43.5% / 56.5%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Ajax
WLDDW
Groningen5–2W
HNK Hajduk Split1–2L
NEC Nijmegen1–1D
Excelsior2–2D
Willem II5–1W
58% Form Rating 42%
AZ Alkmaar
DWLWL
Cambuur2–2D
Hapoel Beer Sheva2–1W
Feyenoord0–2L
Telstar1–0W
Sunderland0–1L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
AZ Alkmaar1–1Ajax
AZ Alkmaar6–0Ajax
Ajax0–2AZ Alkmaar
Ajax2–2AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar2–0Ajax
AZ Alkmaar2–1Ajax

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2AZ Alkmaar45%
Expected Score-3.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal+1.5Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction analysis