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La Liga
Alaves AlavesHome
WDWDW
Sunday, Sep 6, 2026 Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Osasuna OsasunaAway
WWDLL

Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction

Combo Double chance : Alaves or draw and -3.5 goals Review the Alaves vs Osasuna prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for La Liga.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Alaves45%
Draw45%
Osasuna10%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : Alaves or draw and -3.5 goalsStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market-3.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalAlavesWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Alaves has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-1.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is -3.5.
  • Combo Double chance : Alaves or draw and -3.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form50% / 50%
Attacking potential63% / 38%
Defensive potential50% / 50%
Poisson distribution100% / 0
Head to head50% / 50%
Goals H2H44% / 56%
Overall signal51.4% / 48.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Alaves
WDWDW
Villarreal1–0W
Rayo Vallecano1–1D
Getafe3–0W
Racing Santander1–1D
Castellón3–0W
50% Form Rating 50%
Osasuna
WWDLL
Getafe1–0W
Celta Vigo2–1W
Levante0–0D
Al Ain0–2L
Napoli1–2L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Alaves2–2Osasuna
Osasuna3–0Alaves
Alaves1–1Osasuna
Osasuna2–2Alaves
Osasuna1–2Alaves
Osasuna1–0Alaves

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Alaves45%
Expected Score-2.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal-3.5Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Alaves vs Osasuna prediction analysis

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