Football prediction

Arouca vs Estrela Prediction

Combo Winner : Arouca and +1.5 goals Review the Arouca vs Estrela prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Primeira Liga.

Primeira Liga

PortugalOctober 11, 2026 15:00

Model advice Available Live board

Current fixture

Latest Arouca vs Estrela Prediction – 11 October 2026

Arouca45%Home probability

Draw45%Draw probability

Estrela10%Away probability

Prediction details

What the model returned

Winner signalArouca

Winner commentNo comment returned yet.

Expected home goals-4.5

Expected away goals-2.5

Prediction insight graph

Model signal shape

Signal edgeArouca19.4% gap

Arouca59.7%Poisson 83%

Estrela40.3%Goals 56%

AroucaEstrelaHover graph points for metric values

Form64% / 36%

Attacking potential50% / 50%

Defensive potential67% / 33%

Poisson distribution83% / 17%

Head to head50% / 50%

Goals H2H44% / 56%

Overall signal59.7% / 40.3%

Prediction analysis