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UEFA Champions League
AS Roma AS RomaHome
LDDWD
Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026 3–4 Full time
Real Madrid Real MadridAway
W

As Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction

For AS Roma vs Real Madrid on October 14, 2026 in UEFA Champions League, World, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are AS Roma 10%, draw 45% and Real Madrid 45%. Expected goals are AS Roma -1.5 and Real Madrid -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
AS Roma10%
Draw45%
Real Madrid45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or Real MadridStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-1.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalReal MadridWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Real Madrid has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Real Madrid

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form25% / 75%
Attacking potential33% / 67%
Defensive potential50% / 50%
Poisson distribution0 / 0
Head to head0 / 100%
Goals H2H8% / 92%
Overall signal29% / 71%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
AS Roma
LDDWD
Real Madrid3–4L
Como0–0D
Inter2–2D
Torino2–0W
Fenerbahçe1–1D
25% Form Rating 75%
Real Madrid
W
AS Roma4–3W

Head to Head

Last 1 meeting
AS Roma3–4Real Madrid

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Real Madrid45%
Expected Score-1.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

AS Roma vs Real Madrid prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

October 14, 2026 · UEFA Champions League10% / 45% / 45% · 3–4

November 27, 2018 · UEFA Champions League0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–2

September 19, 2018 · UEFA Champions League0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–0

August 8, 2018 · International Champions Cup0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–1

March 8, 2016 · UEFA Champions League0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–0

February 17, 2016 · UEFA Champions League0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–2