Football prediction

Challenger Pro League predictions Matchday 10

Beerschot Va vs Excelsior Virton Prediction

Excelsior Virton host Beerschot VA in the Challenger Pro League (matchday 10) on Saturday 7 November, 20:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 16% / 32% / 52% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Beerschot VA or draw (84%).

Excelsior VirtonWDLLW

20:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Beerschot VAWWWWW

Stade Yvan Georges, Virton

Our prediction

Beerschot VA or draw84% probability · best odds 1.18

16%32%52%

Excelsior VirtonDrawBeerschot VA

Most likely score: 1 - 2
Both teams to score: 56%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 2.3
Double chance: 1X 48% · 12 68% · X2 84%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Beerschot VA

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Excelsior Virton	Beerschot VA
Results	WDLLW	WWWWW
Goals scored per game	2.0	2.8
Goals conceded per game	1.8	0.6

Excelsior VirtonBeerschot VA

32%

68%Form

42%

58%Attack

25%

75%Defence

49%

51%Poisson

29%

71%Head to head

30%

70%Goals

35%

66%Overall

Head-to-head

2Excelsior Virton1Draws4Beerschot VA

5 Sep 2025Excelsior Virton0 - 1Beerschot VACup
12 Nov 2022Beerschot VA3 - 0Excelsior VirtonChallenger Pro League
18 Sep 2022Excelsior Virton1 - 2Beerschot VAChallenger Pro League
26 Jul 2020Excelsior Virton1 - 0Beerschot VAChallenger Pro League
7 Dec 2019Beerschot VA1 - 1Excelsior VirtonChallenger Pro League
19 Oct 2019Beerschot VA2 - 1Excelsior VirtonChallenger Pro League

Best odds (1X2)

Excelsior Virton4.76Pinnaclefair 20%

Draw4.05Pinnaclefair 23%

Beerschot VA1.64Pinnaclefair 57%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 9.8%.

Compare all Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Excelsior Virton	16%	19.7%	-3.7
Draw	32%	23.4%	+8.6
Beerschot VA	52%	56.9%	-4.9

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Challenger Pro League table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Beerschot VA	9	+16	24	WWWWW
6	Excelsior Virton	8	+4	13	WLLDW

Full Challenger Pro League table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This Challenger Pro League matchday 10 fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 20:00 WAT at Stade Yvan Georges. Excelsior Virton are 6th with 13 points from 8 games (goal difference +4); Beerschot VA are 1st with 24 points from 9 (+16). The 11-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Excelsior Virton and Beerschot VA form

Over their last 5 matches Excelsior Virton have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (WDLLW). Beerschot VA arrive in strong form: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (WWWWW). Over those games Excelsior Virton averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, Beerschot VA 2.8 and 0.6.

What the numbers say

Beerschot VA are the model’s favourites at 52%, 36 points clear of Excelsior Virton, while the draw is rated 32%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for Excelsior Virton and 2.3 for Beerschot VA, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 69% and both teams to score (GG) 65%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Beerschot VA in attack (58-42), Beerschot VA in defence (75-25), Beerschot VA in form (68-32).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Excelsior Virton won 2, Beerschot VA won 4 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 5 Sep 2025, finished Excelsior Virton 0-1 Beerschot VA.

Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 4.76 for Excelsior Virton (Pinnacle), 4.05 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 1.64 for Beerschot VA (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 20% / 23% / 57%. Our model is 8.6 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.67 and under at 2.20.

Our Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA prediction

The selection we are backing in Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA: Beerschot VA or draw (84% confidence, best price 1.18). Correct score suggestion: 1-2. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA?: The model gives Excelsior Virton 16%, the draw 32% and Beerschot VA 52%. Our tip is Beerschot VA or draw.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA?: 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (9%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 2.3.
Will both teams score in Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA?: GG is rated 65% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA?: Saturday 7 November, 20:00 WAT, Challenger Pro League (matchday 10), Stade Yvan Georges.

Compare every market on the Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.