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Championship
Birmingham BirminghamHome
WLDDW
Saturday, Sep 19, 2026 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Middlesbrough MiddlesbroughAway
DWLWD

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough Review the Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Championship.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Birmingham10%
Draw45%
Middlesbrough45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or MiddlesbroughStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals MarketWhen returned by feed
Winner SignalMiddlesbroughWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Middlesbrough has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form42% / 58%
Attacking potential42% / 58%
Defensive potential50% / 50%
Poisson distribution43% / 57%
Head to head0 / 100%
Goals H2H23% / 77%
Overall signal40% / 60%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Birmingham
WLDDW
Derby2–1W
Norwich1–2L
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1D
Wrexham2–1W
42% Form Rating 58%
Middlesbrough
DWLWD
Millwall2–2D
Norwich4–3W
Crystal Palace0–3L
QPR1–0W
Burnley1–1D

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Birmingham1–3Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough2–1Birmingham
Birmingham0–1Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough1–0Birmingham
Birmingham1–3Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough1–0Birmingham

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Middlesbrough45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals SignalFeed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough prediction analysis