Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United Prediction

Bristol Rovers host Cambridge United in the FA Cup (1/128-finals) on Friday 6 November, 20:30 WAT. Our model rates the match 37% / 33% / 30% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Bristol Rovers or draw (70%).

Bristol Rovers

20:30Fri 6 Nov 2026 · WAT

Cambridge United

Memorial Stadium, Bristol

Our prediction

Bristol Rovers or draw70% probability · best odds 1.73

37%33%30%

Bristol RoversDrawCambridge United

Both teams to score: 61%
Double chance: 1X 70% · 12 67% · X2 63%

Model advice: Double chance : Bristol Rovers or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge United
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

Bristol RoversCambridge United

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

60%

40%Head to head

46%

54%Goals

53%

47%Overall

Head-to-head

4Bristol Rovers1Draws3Cambridge United

14 Feb 2026Cambridge United3 - 1Bristol RoversLeague Two
2 Dec 2025Bristol Rovers2 - 2Cambridge UnitedEFL Trophy
23 Aug 2025Bristol Rovers1 - 0Cambridge UnitedLeague Two
12 Aug 2025Bristol Rovers0 - 2Cambridge UnitedLeague Cup
4 Jan 2025Cambridge United0 - 1Bristol RoversLeague One
31 Aug 2024Bristol Rovers2 - 0Cambridge UnitedLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

Bristol Rovers3.10Betfairfair 32%

Draw3.75Dafabetfair 26%

Cambridge United2.27Dafabetfair 43%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.7%.

Compare all Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Bristol Rovers	37%	31.6%	+5.4
Draw	33%	25.8%	+7.2
Cambridge United	30%	42.6%	-12.6

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction and preview (6 Nov 2026 WAT)

Friday 6 November, 20:30 WAT is the date for this FA Cup 1/128-finals meeting at Memorial Stadium.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Bristol Rovers 37%, Cambridge United 30%, with 33% on the draw.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Bristol Rovers won 4, Cambridge United won 3 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Cambridge United 3-1 Bristol Rovers.

Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 3.10 for Bristol Rovers (Betfair), 3.75 for the draw (Dafabet) and 2.27 for Cambridge United (Dafabet). With the margin removed the market reads 32% / 26% / 43%. Our model is 7.2 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.63 and under at 2.30.

Our Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United prediction

Our pick for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United is Bristol Rovers or draw, rated 70%, best price 1.73. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?: The model gives Bristol Rovers 37%, the draw 33% and Cambridge United 30%. Our tip is Bristol Rovers or draw.
When and where is Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?: Friday 6 November, 20:30 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Memorial Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.