Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Burton Albion vs Afc Rushden Diamonds Prediction

Burton Albion host AFC Rushden & Diamonds in the FA Cup (1/128-finals) on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 33% / 33% / 33% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Burton Albion to win (33%).

Burton Albion

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

AFC Rushden & DiamondsWWWW

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Our prediction

Burton Albion to win33% probability · best odds 1.10

33%33%33%

Burton AlbionDrawAFC Rushden & Diamonds

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 37%
Expected goals: 0.4 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 66% · 12 66% · X2 66%

Model advice: No predictions available

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Burton Albion	AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Results		WWWW
Goals scored per game	0.0	2.5
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.8

Burton AlbionAFC Rushden & Diamonds

100%Form

100%Attack

100%

0%Defence

0%Poisson

0%Head to head

0%Goals

0%Overall

Best odds (1X2)

Burton Albion1.10Bet365fair 86%

Draw12.00Betfairfair 9%

AFC Rushden & Diamonds29.00William Hillfair 4%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.3%.

Compare all Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Burton Albion	33%	86.3%	-53.3
Draw	33%	9.4%	+23.6
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	33%	4.3%	+28.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this FA Cup 1/128-finals meeting at Pirelli Stadium.

Burton Albion and AFC Rushden & Diamonds form

AFC Rushden & Diamonds are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 games (WWWW). Over those games Burton Albion averaged 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2.5 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Burton Albion 33%, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 33%, with 33% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 0.4 for Burton Albion and 1.3 for AFC Rushden & Diamonds, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 23% and both teams to score (GG) 24%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: AFC Rushden & Diamonds in attack (100-0), Burton Albion in defence (100-0), AFC Rushden & Diamonds in form (100-0).

Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.10 for Burton Albion (Bet365), 12.00 for the draw (Betfair) and 29.00 for AFC Rushden & Diamonds (William Hill). With the margin removed the market reads 86% / 9% / 4%. Our model is 28.7 points higher than the bookmakers on AFC Rushden & Diamonds – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.34 and under at 3.40.

Our Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction

Our pick for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Burton Albion to win, rated 33%, best price 1.10. Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?: The model gives Burton Albion 33%, the draw 33% and AFC Rushden & Diamonds 33%. Our tip is Burton Albion to win.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (24%), from expected goals of 0.4 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?: GG is rated 24% by the model and the best GG price is 2.88.
When and where is Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Pirelli Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Our prediction

Form and team strength

Best odds (1X2)

Model vs bookmakers

Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Related Match Predictions