Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Carlisle vs Salford City Prediction

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT: Carlisle welcome Salford City in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Home win 33%, draw 33%, away win 33% according to our model, and the pick is Carlisle to win (33%).

CarlisleW

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Salford City

Brunton Park, Carlisle

Our prediction

Carlisle to win33% probability · best odds 2.95

33%33%33%

CarlisleDrawSalford City

Most likely score: 0 - 0
Both teams to score: 63%
Expected goals: 1.0 – 0.5
Double chance: 1X 66% · 12 66% · X2 66%

Model advice: No predictions available

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Carlisle	Salford City
Results	W
Goals scored per game	2.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	1.0	0.0

CarlisleSalford City

100%

0%Form

100%

0%Attack

100%Defence

0%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

53%

47%Goals

52%

49%Overall

Head-to-head

3Carlisle2Draws3Salford City

28 Jul 2026Carlisle0 - 2Salford CityFriendlies Clubs
3 May 2025Carlisle2 - 2Salford CityLeague Two
9 Nov 2024Salford City0 - 1CarlisleLeague Two
29 Apr 2023Carlisle2 - 3Salford CityLeague Two
19 Nov 2022Salford City1 - 4CarlisleLeague Two
1 Feb 2022Salford City2 - 1CarlisleLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Carlisle2.95Dafabetfair 33%

Draw3.75Betfairfair 26%

Salford City2.32Pinnaclefair 41%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.0%.

Compare all Carlisle vs Salford City odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Carlisle	33%	32.9%	+0.1
Draw	33%	25.7%	+7.3
Salford City	33%	41.3%	-8.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Carlisle vs Salford City preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Brunton Park.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Carlisle 33%, Salford City 33%, with 33% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for Carlisle and 0.5 for Salford City, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-0 (22%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 19% and both teams to score (GG) 25%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Carlisle in attack (100-0), Salford City in defence (100-0), Carlisle in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Carlisle won 3, Salford City won 3 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 28 Jul 2026, finished Carlisle 0-2 Salford City.

Carlisle vs Salford City odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.95 for Carlisle (Dafabet), 3.75 for the draw (Betfair) and 2.32 for Salford City (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 33% / 26% / 41%. Our model is 7.3 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.57 and under at 2.45.

Our Carlisle vs Salford City prediction

The selection we are backing in Carlisle vs Salford City: Carlisle to win (33% confidence, best price 2.95). Correct score suggestion: 0-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Carlisle vs Salford City?: The model gives Carlisle 33%, the draw 33% and Salford City 33%. Our tip is Carlisle to win.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Salford City?: 0-0 is the most likely scoreline (22%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 0.5.
Will both teams score in Carlisle vs Salford City?: GG is rated 25% by the model and the best GG price is 1.50.
When and where is Carlisle vs Salford City?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Brunton Park.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.