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Primeira Liga
Alverca AlvercaHome
LWWWL
Saturday, Nov 7, 2026 FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo
Casa Pia Casa PiaAway
WLWLD

Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction

The Alverca vs Casa Pia football prediction for November 7, 2026 in Primeira Liga, Portugal uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Alverca 45%, draw 45% and Casa Pia 10%. Expected goals are Alverca -2.5 and Casa Pia -1.5. Model advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Alverca45%
Draw45%
Casa Pia10%
Model adviceDouble chance : Alverca or drawStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalAlvercaWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Alverca has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-1.5.
  • Double chance : Alverca or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form71% / 29%
Attacking potential77% / 23%
Defensive potential58% / 42%
Poisson distribution69% / 31%
Head to head67% / 33%
Goals H2H64% / 36%
Overall signal67.7% / 32.3%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Alverca
LWWWL
Tondela0–2L
Famalicao4–1W
Rio Ave1–0W
Nacional3–1W
SC Braga1–2L
71% Form Rating 29%
Casa Pia
WLWLD
Alpendorada1–0W
Santa Clara0–1L
Estoril2–1W
FC Porto1–4L
Vitória SC0–0D

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings
Alverca3–1Casa Pia
Casa Pia0–2Alverca
Alverca2–3Casa Pia

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Alverca45%
Expected Score-2.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction analysis