Football prediction

La Liga Matchday 12

Celta Vigo vs Levante Prediction

Sunday 8 November, 18:30 WAT: Celta Vigo welcome Levante in the La Liga (matchday 12). Home win 48%, draw 34%, away win 18% according to our model, and the pick is Celta Vigo or draw (82%).

Celta VigoWDWDL

18:30Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

LevanteDDWLL

Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo

Our prediction

Celta Vigo or draw82% probability · best odds 1.27

48%34%18%

Celta VigoDrawLevante

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 53%
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.2
Double chance: 1X 82% · 12 66% · X2 52%

Model advice: Double chance : Celta Vigo or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Celta Vigo	Levante
Results	WDWDL	DDWLL
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.6
Goals conceded per game	0.8	1.8

Celta VigoLevante

62%

38%Form

47%

53%Attack

69%

31%Defence

77%

23%Poisson

71%

29%Head to head

64%

36%Goals

65%

35%Overall

Head-to-head

3Celta Vigo2Draws3Levante

12 May 2026Celta Vigo2 - 3LevanteLa Liga
2 Nov 2025Levante1 - 2Celta VigoLa Liga
21 Feb 2022Celta Vigo1 - 1LevanteLa Liga
21 Sep 2021Levante0 - 2Celta VigoLa Liga
30 Apr 2021Celta Vigo2 - 0LevanteLa Liga
26 Oct 2020Levante1 - 1Celta VigoLa Liga

Best odds (1X2)

Celta Vigo1.95Bet365fair 50%

Draw3.84Pinnaclefair 26%

Levante4.211xBetfair 23%

Compared across 6 bookmakers. Market margin 4.9%.

Compare all Celta Vigo vs Levante odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Celta Vigo	48%	50.4%	-2.4
Draw	34%	26.2%	+7.8
Levante	18%	23.4%	-5.4

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

La Liga table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
10	Celta Vigo	11	0	12	LDWDW
18	Levante	11	-5	10	LLWDD

Full La Liga table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Celta Vigo vs Levante: our prediction for 8 Nov 2026 WAT

Sunday 8 November, 18:30 WAT is the date for this La Liga matchday 12 meeting at Municipal de Balaídos. Celta Vigo are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (goal difference 0); Levante are 18th with 10 points from 11 (-5). Only 2 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Celta Vigo and Levante form

Celta Vigo have a mixed recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (WDWDL) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Levante have managed 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (DDWLL). Over those games Celta Vigo averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, Levante 1.6 and 1.8.

What the numbers say

Celta Vigo are the model’s favourites at 48%, 30 points clear of Levante, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.6 for Celta Vigo and 1.2 for Levante, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 53% and both teams to score (GG) 56%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Celta Vigo in defence (69-31), Celta Vigo in form (62-38).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Celta Vigo won 3, Levante won 3 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 12 May 2026, finished Celta Vigo 2-3 Levante.

Celta Vigo vs Levante odds

Across 6 bookmakers the best prices are 1.95 for Celta Vigo (Bet365), 3.84 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.21 for Levante (1xBet). With the margin removed the market reads 50% / 26% / 23%. Our model is 7.8 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.97 and under at 1.97.

Our Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction

Our pick for Celta Vigo vs Levante is Celta Vigo or draw, rated 82%, best price 1.27. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Levante?: The model gives Celta Vigo 48%, the draw 34% and Levante 18%. Our tip is Celta Vigo or draw.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Levante?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.6 and 1.2.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Levante?: GG is rated 56% by the model and the best GG price is 1.76.
When and where is Celta Vigo vs Levante?: Sunday 8 November, 18:30 WAT, La Liga (matchday 12), Municipal de Balaídos.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.