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National League - North
Merthyr Town Merthyr TownHome
WWLDD
Tuesday, Feb 23, 2027 England
Chester ChesterAway
LDLDW

Chester vs Merthyr Town Prediction

Combo Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw and -3.5 goals Review the Merthyr Town vs Chester prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for National League - North.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Merthyr Town45%
Draw45%
Chester10%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw and -3.5 goalsStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market-3.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalMerthyr TownWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Merthyr Town has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-1.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is -3.5.
  • Combo Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw and -3.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form62% / 38%
Attacking potential67% / 33%
Defensive potential44% / 56%
Poisson distribution44% / 56%
Head to head50% / 50%
Goals H2H50% / 50%
Overall signal52.8% / 47.2%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Merthyr Town
WWLDD
Chester1–0W
Macclesfield2–1W
Buxton1–2L
Chorley1–1D
South Shields1–1D
62% Form Rating 38%
Chester
LDLDW
Merthyr Town0–1L
Hebburn Town1–1D
Morecambe0–1L
Hereford1–1D
Spalding United1–0W

Head to Head

Last 1 meeting
Chester0–1Merthyr Town

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Merthyr Town45%
Expected Score-2.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal-3.5Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Merthyr Town vs Chester prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 8, 2026 · National League - North0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 0–1