Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town Prediction

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). The model gives Chesterfield 58%, the draw 32% and Yeovil Town 10%, and the pick is Chesterfield or draw (90%).

Chesterfield

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Yeovil TownDW

Proact Stadium, Chesterfield

Our prediction

Chesterfield or draw90% probability · best odds 1.17

58%32%10%

ChesterfieldDrawYeovil Town

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 57%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 2.0
Double chance: 1X 90% · 12 68% · X2 42%

Model advice: Double chance : Chesterfield or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Chesterfield	Yeovil Town
Results		DW
Goals scored per game	0.0	4.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	2.5

ChesterfieldYeovil Town

100%Form

100%Attack

100%

0%Defence

0%Poisson

85%

15%Head to head

75%

25%Goals

80%

20%Overall

Head-to-head

4Chesterfield2Draws1Yeovil Town

11 Mar 2023Chesterfield1 - 1Yeovil TownNational League
17 Sep 2022Yeovil Town2 - 2ChesterfieldNational League
26 Feb 2022Chesterfield1 - 0Yeovil TownNational League
18 Sep 2021Yeovil Town0 - 2ChesterfieldNational League
6 Mar 2021Chesterfield3 - 0Yeovil TownNational League
31 Oct 2020Yeovil Town0 - 1ChesterfieldNational League

Best odds (1X2)

Chesterfield1.52Pinnaclefair 63%

Draw4.90Dafabetfair 21%

Yeovil Town6.00Bet365fair 16%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.3%.

Compare all Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Chesterfield	58%	63.2%	-5.2
Draw	32%	20.5%	+11.5
Yeovil Town	10%	16.3%	-6.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Proact Stadium.

What the numbers say

Chesterfield are the model’s favourites at 58%, 48 points clear of Yeovil Town, while the draw is rated 32%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for Chesterfield and 2.0 for Yeovil Town, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 63% and both teams to score (GG) 61%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Yeovil Town in attack (100-0), Chesterfield in defence (100-0), Yeovil Town in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 7 meetings Chesterfield won 4, Yeovil Town won 1 and 2 ended level, an average of 2.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 11 Mar 2023, finished Chesterfield 1-1 Yeovil Town.

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.52 for Chesterfield (Pinnacle), 4.90 for the draw (Dafabet) and 6.00 for Yeovil Town (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 63% / 21% / 16%. Our model is 11.5 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.53 and under at 2.55.

Our Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town prediction

The selection we are backing in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: Chesterfield or draw (90% confidence, best price 1.17). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?: The model gives Chesterfield 58%, the draw 32% and Yeovil Town 10%. Our tip is Chesterfield or draw.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (10%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 2.0.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?: GG is rated 61% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Proact Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.