Croatia vs Czechia Prediction

Sunday 15 November, 20:45 WAT is the date for this UEFA Nations League league a – 6 meeting. Croatia are 3rd with 3 points from 4 games (goal difference -10); Czechia are 4th with 0 points from 4 (-8). Only 3 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Croatia and Czechia form

Form is a concern for Croatia, who have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 4 (WLLL). Czechia are struggling for results: 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in the last 4 (LLLL). Over those games Croatia averaged 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per match, Czechia 0.5 and 2.5.

What the numbers say

Croatia are the model’s favourites at 60%, 49 points clear of Czechia, while the draw is rated 29%. Expected goals come out at 1.8 for Croatia and 2.0 for Czechia, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (8%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 72% and both teams to score (GG) 71%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Croatia in attack (67-33), Czechia in defence (58-42), Croatia in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 5 meetings Croatia won 2, Czechia won 0 and 3 ended level, an average of 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 3 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished Czechia 1-2 Croatia.

Croatia vs Czechia odds

Across 1 bookmakers the best prices are 1.33 for Croatia (1xBet), 4.93 for the draw (1xBet) and 7.60 for Czechia (1xBet). With the margin removed the market reads 69% / 19% / 12%. Our model is 10.3 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.59 and under at 2.15.

Our Croatia vs Czechia prediction

Our pick for Croatia vs Czechia is Croatia or draw, rated 89%, best price 1.01. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Croatia vs Czechia?

The model gives Croatia 60%, the draw 29% and Czechia 11%. Our tip is Croatia or draw.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Czechia?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline (8%), from expected goals of 1.8 and 2.0.

Will both teams score in Croatia vs Czechia?

GG is rated 71% by the model and the best GG price is 1.87.

When and where is Croatia vs Czechia?

Sunday 15 November, 20:45 WAT, UEFA Nations League (league a – 6).

Compare every market on the Croatia vs Czechia odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.