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UEFA Nations League
Wales WalesHome
WL
Sunday, Oct 4, 2026 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Denmark DenmarkAway
LW

Denmark vs Wales Prediction

For Wales vs Denmark on October 4, 2026 in UEFA Nations League, World, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are Wales 10%, draw 45% and Denmark 45%. Expected goals are Wales -4.5 and Denmark -2.5. Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Denmark and +1.5 goals. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Wales10%
Draw45%
Denmark45%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : draw or Denmark and +1.5 goalsStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-4.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market+1.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalDenmarkWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Denmark has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -4.5–-2.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is +1.5.
  • Combo Double chance : draw or Denmark and +1.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form50% / 50%
Attacking potential25% / 75%
Defensive potential64% / 36%
Poisson distribution80% / 20%
Head to head0 / 100%
Goals H2H9% / 91%
Overall signal45.6% / 54.4%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Wales
WL
Norway2–1W
Denmark0–2L
50% Form Rating 50%
Denmark
LW
Portugal2–4L
Wales2–0W

Head to Head

Last 1 meeting
Denmark2–0Wales

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Denmark45%
Expected Score-4.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal+1.5Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Wales vs Denmark prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 27, 2026 · UEFA Nations League0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–0