Football prediction

Derby vs Swansea Prediction

Double chance : draw or Swansea Review the Derby vs Swansea prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Championship.

Championship

EnglandAugust 29, 2026 11:30

Model advice Available Live board

Current fixture

Latest Derby vs Swansea Prediction – 29 August 2026

Derby10%Home probability

Draw45%Draw probability

Swansea45%Away probability

Prediction details

What the model returned

Winner signalSwansea

Winner commentWin or draw

Expected home goals-2.5

Expected away goals-2.5

Prediction insight graph

Model signal shape

Signal edgeSwansea25.6% gap

Derby37.2%Attack 60%

Swansea62.8%Form 80%

DerbySwanseaHover graph points for metric values

Form20% / 80%

Attacking potential60% / 40%

Defensive potential20% / 80%

Poisson distribution33% / 67%

Head to head40% / 60%

Goals H2H50% / 50%

Overall signal37.2% / 62.8%

Prediction analysis