Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Dover vs Wealdstone Prediction

Dover vs Wealdstone kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). The model gives Dover 20%, the draw 32% and Wealdstone 48%, and the pick is Wealdstone to win (48%).

DoverWWW

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

WealdstoneW

Crabble Athletic Ground, River

Our prediction

Wealdstone to win48% probability · best odds 1.95

20%32%48%

DoverDrawWealdstone

Most likely score: 1 - 2
Goals: Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score: 65%
Expected goals: 1.5 – 2.4
Double chance: 1X 52% · 12 68% · X2 80%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Wealdstone and +1.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Dover	Wealdstone
Results	WWW	W
Goals scored per game	3.0	3.0
Goals conceded per game	1.7	0.0

DoverWealdstone

75%

25%Form

75%

25%Attack

100%Defence

0%Poisson

20%

80%Head to head

38%

63%Goals

52%

48%Overall

Head-to-head

0Dover0Draws2Wealdstone

15 Jan 2022Wealdstone2 - 1DoverNational League
23 Nov 2021Dover2 - 3WealdstoneNational League
27 Apr 2021Wealdstone- - -DoverNational League
13 Mar 2021Dover- - -WealdstoneNational League

Best odds (1X2)

Dover3.60Bet365fair 27%

Draw4.09Pinnaclefair 24%

Wealdstone1.95Dafabetfair 49%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.0%.

Compare all Dover vs Wealdstone odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Dover	20%	26.9%	-6.9
Draw	32%	23.9%	+8.1
Wealdstone	48%	49.3%	-1.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Dover vs Wealdstone prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Crabble Athletic Ground.

Dover and Wealdstone form

Dover have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats (WWW) across their last 3. Over those games Dover averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, Wealdstone 3.0 and 0.0.

What the numbers say

Wealdstone are the model’s favourites at 48%, 28 points clear of Dover, while the draw is rated 32%. Expected goals come out at 1.5 for Dover and 2.4 for Wealdstone, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 73% and both teams to score (GG) 69%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Dover in attack (75-25), Wealdstone in defence (100-0), Dover in form (75-25).

Head-to-head record

In the last 2 meetings Dover won 0, Wealdstone won 2 and 0 ended level, an average of 4.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 15 Jan 2022, finished Wealdstone 2-1 Dover.

Dover vs Wealdstone odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 3.60 for Dover (Bet365), 4.09 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 1.95 for Wealdstone (Dafabet). With the margin removed the market reads 27% / 24% / 49%. Our model is 8.1 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50 and under at 2.63.

Our Dover vs Wealdstone prediction

The selection we are backing in Dover vs Wealdstone: Wealdstone to win (48% confidence, best price 1.95). For a goals angle, the model leans towards over 1.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 1-2. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Dover vs Wealdstone?: The model gives Dover 20%, the draw 32% and Wealdstone 48%. Our tip is Wealdstone to win.
What is the predicted score for Dover vs Wealdstone?: 1-2 is the most likely scoreline (9%), from expected goals of 1.5 and 2.4.
Will both teams score in Dover vs Wealdstone?: GG is rated 69% by the model and the best GG price is 1.47.
When and where is Dover vs Wealdstone?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Crabble Athletic Ground.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.