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Premier Division
Derry City Derry CityHome
WWLWW
Friday, Oct 23, 2026 Brandywell Stadium, Delhi
Dundalk DundalkAway
WLDLL

Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction

Derry City vs Dundalk prediction for October 23, 2026 in Premier Division, Ireland reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are Derry City 45%, draw 45% and Dundalk 10%. Expected goals are Derry City -2.5 and Dundalk -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : Derry City or draw. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Derry City45%
Draw45%
Dundalk10%
Model adviceDouble chance : Derry City or drawStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalDerry CityWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Derry City has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : Derry City or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form83% / 17%
Attacking potential50% / 50%
Defensive potential73% / 27%
Poisson distribution59% / 41%
Head to head62% / 38%
Goals H2H58% / 42%
Overall signal64.2% / 35.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Derry City
WWLWW
Dundalk2–1W
St Patrick's Athl.1–0W
Drogheda United0–2L
Galway United2–0W
Galway United1–0W
83% Form Rating 17%
Dundalk
WLDLL
Shamrock Rovers3–1W
Derry City1–2L
Sligo Rovers1–1D
Bohemians1–2L
Shelbourne2–3L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Derry City4–2Dundalk
Dundalk2–1Derry City
Dundalk2–2Derry City
Derry City2–2Dundalk
Dundalk0–2Derry City
Derry City1–1Dundalk

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Derry City45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Derry City vs Dundalk prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

October 23, 2026 · Premier Division45% / 45% / 10% · —

September 6, 2026 · FAI Cup0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 4–2