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Primeira Liga
Estoril EstorilHome
LLLDD
Monday, Sep 7, 2026 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Arouca AroucaAway
WLWWW

Estoril vs Arouca Prediction

Combo Double chance : draw or Arouca and -3.5 goals Review the Estoril vs Arouca prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Primeira Liga.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Estoril10%
Draw45%
Arouca45%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : draw or Arouca and -3.5 goalsStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-1.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market-3.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalAroucaWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Arouca has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-2.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is -3.5.
  • Combo Double chance : draw or Arouca and -3.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form10% / 90%
Attacking potential22% / 78%
Defensive potential30% / 70%
Poisson distribution41% / 59%
Head to head50% / 50%
Goals H2H55% / 45%
Overall signal34.7% / 65.3%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Estoril
LLLDD
Benfica1–2L
Rio Ave0–2L
Nacional0–2L
Famalicao1–1D
CF Os Belenenses1–1D
10% Form Rating 90%
Arouca
WLWWW
Maritimo2–1W
FC Porto0–2L
Moreirense4–0W
Vitória SC1–0W
Lusitânia Lourosa2–0W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Arouca3–2Estoril
Estoril4–3Arouca
Arouca1–1Estoril
Estoril4–1Arouca
Estoril1–2Arouca
Arouca4–3Estoril

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Arouca45%
Expected Score-1.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal-3.5Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Estoril vs Arouca prediction analysis