Football prediction

UEFA Nations League predictions League c - 6

Faroe Islands vs Moldova Prediction

Faroe Islands vs Moldova kicks off on Monday 16 November, 16:00 WAT in the UEFA Nations League (league c - 6). The model gives Faroe Islands 50%, the draw 34% and Moldova 16%, and the pick is Faroe Islands or draw (84%).

Faroe IslandsDDDDD

16:00Mon 16 Nov 2026 · WAT

MoldovaLDWLW

Torsvollur, Torshavn

Our prediction

Faroe Islands or draw84% probability · best odds 1.21

50%34%16%

Faroe IslandsDrawMoldova

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 45%
Expected goals: 1.6 – 1.2
Double chance: 1X 84% · 12 66% · X2 50%

Model advice: Double chance : Faroe Islands or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Faroe Islands	Moldova
Results	DDDDD	LDWLW
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.0
Goals conceded per game	1.4	1.8

Faroe IslandsMoldova

42%

58%Form

58%

42%Attack

56%

44%Defence

60%

40%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

53%

47%Overall

Head-to-head

1Faroe Islands3Draws1Moldova

29 Sep 2026Moldova1 - 1Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2023Faroe Islands0 - 1MoldovaEuro Championship - Qualification
24 Mar 2023Moldova1 - 1Faroe IslandsEuro Championship - Qualification
7 Sep 2021Faroe Islands2 - 1MoldovaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
25 Mar 2021Moldova1 - 1Faroe IslandsWorld Cup - Qualification Europe

Best odds (1X2)

Faroe Islands1.85Dafabetfair 53%

Draw3.681xBetfair 27%

Moldova5.051xBetfair 20%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.1%.

Compare all Faroe Islands vs Moldova odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Faroe Islands	50%	52.8%	-2.8
Draw	34%	27.1%	+6.9
Moldova	16%	20.2%	-4.2

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

UEFA Nations League table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Moldova	5	-4	7	WLWDL
3	Faroe Islands	5	0	5	DDDDD

Full UEFA Nations League table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Faroe Islands vs Moldova preview, prediction and stats – 16 Nov 2026 WAT

Monday 16 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this UEFA Nations League league c – 6 meeting at Torsvollur. Faroe Islands are 3rd with 5 points from 5 games (goal difference 0); Moldova are 2nd with 7 points from 5 (-4). Only 2 points separate them, so the result moves both sides in the table.

Faroe Islands and Moldova form

Faroe Islands have a mixed recent record of 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats (DDDDD) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Moldova have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (LDWLW). Over those games Faroe Islands averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Moldova 1.0 and 1.8.

What the numbers say

Faroe Islands are the model’s favourites at 50%, 34 points clear of Moldova, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.6 for Faroe Islands and 1.2 for Moldova, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 53% and both teams to score (GG) 56%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Faroe Islands in attack (58-42), Faroe Islands in defence (56-44), Moldova in form (58-42).

Head-to-head record

In the last 5 meetings Faroe Islands won 1, Moldova won 1 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 1 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 29 Sep 2026, finished Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands.

Faroe Islands vs Moldova odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.85 for Faroe Islands (Dafabet), 3.68 for the draw (1xBet) and 5.05 for Moldova (1xBet). With the margin removed the market reads 53% / 27% / 20%. Our model is 6.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.30 and under at 1.69.

Our Faroe Islands vs Moldova prediction

Our pick for Faroe Islands vs Moldova is Faroe Islands or draw, rated 84%, best price 1.21. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Faroe Islands vs Moldova?: The model gives Faroe Islands 50%, the draw 34% and Moldova 16%. Our tip is Faroe Islands or draw.
What is the predicted score for Faroe Islands vs Moldova?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.6 and 1.2.
Will both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Moldova?: GG is rated 56% by the model and the best GG price is 2.10.
When and where is Faroe Islands vs Moldova?: Monday 16 November, 16:00 WAT, UEFA Nations League (league c – 6), Torsvollur.

Compare every market on the Faroe Islands vs Moldova odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.