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Primera División
Alianza Atletico Alianza AtleticoHome
LWWLW
Date pending Peru
FBC Melgar FBC MelgarAway
WDDWW

Fbc Melgar vs Alianza Atletico Prediction

The Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar football prediction in Primera División, Peru uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Alianza Atletico 10%, draw 45% and FBC Melgar 45%. Expected goals are Alianza Atletico -2.5 and FBC Melgar -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or FBC Melgar. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Alianza Atletico10%
Draw45%
FBC Melgar45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or FBC MelgarStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalFBC MelgarWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • FBC Melgar has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or FBC Melgar

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form45% / 55%
Attacking potential48% / 52%
Defensive potential31% / 69%
Poisson distribution48% / 52%
Head to head29% / 71%
Goals H2H42% / 58%
Overall signal40.5% / 59.5%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Alianza Atletico
LWWLW
Universitario1–4L
Sport Boys3–1W
Sport Boys3–0W
Sport Boys0–3L
Comerciantes Unidos2–1W
45% Form Rating 55%
FBC Melgar
WDDWW
Deportivo Garcilaso4–2W
Universitario2–2D
Sport Boys1–1D
Cusco1–0W
ADT3–0W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
FBC Melgar3–1Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico0–0FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar2–1Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico3–1FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar1–0Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar4–0Alianza Atletico

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2FBC Melgar45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

May 31, 2026 · Primera División45% / 45% / 10% · 3–1