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Süper Lig
Galatasaray GalatasarayHome
WWLWD
Monday, Oct 26, 2026 Rams Park, Istanbul
Fenerbahçe FenerbahçeAway
DWLWW

Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray Prediction

For Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe on October 26, 2026 in Süper Lig, Turkey, this football prediction page combines the latest model probabilities, expected-goal signal and matchup context. The current win probabilities are Galatasaray 10%, draw 45% and Fenerbahçe 45%. Expected goals are Galatasaray -2.5 and Fenerbahçe -3.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe. Read the model together with recent form, head-to-head evidence, team availability and current bookmaker prices rather than treating one probability as a guaranteed result.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Galatasaray10%
Draw45%
Fenerbahçe45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or FenerbahçeStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-3.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalFenerbahçeWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Fenerbahçe has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-3.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form55% / 45%
Attacking potential35% / 65%
Defensive potential22% / 78%
Poisson distribution31% / 69%
Head to head62% / 38%
Goals H2H60% / 40%
Overall signal44.2% / 55.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Galatasaray
WWLWD
Lille4–2W
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1–0W
Barcelona1–4L
Kasımpaşa3–1W
Pendikspor3–3D
55% Form Rating 45%
Fenerbahçe
DWLWW
Slavia Praha2–2D
Alanyaspor3–0W
Aston Villa0–6L
Rizespor3–0W
Turan2–0W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Galatasaray3–0Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray0–2Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe1–1Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe1–2Galatasaray
Galatasaray0–0Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe1–3Galatasaray

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Fenerbahçe45%
Expected Score-2.5–-3.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction analysis