Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Prediction

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT: Fleetwood Town welcome Rochdale in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Home win 37%, draw 32%, away win 31% according to our model, and the pick is Rochdale or draw (63%).

Fleetwood Town

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Rochdale

Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood

Our prediction

Rochdale or draw63% probability · best odds 2.20

37%32%31%

Fleetwood TownDrawRochdale

Both teams to score: 56%
Double chance: 1X 69% · 12 68% · X2 63%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Rochdale

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Fleetwood Town	Rochdale
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

Fleetwood TownRochdale

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

38%

62%Head to head

47%

53%Goals

43%

58%Overall

Head-to-head

3Fleetwood Town3Draws2Rochdale

26 Sep 2026Fleetwood Town1 - 2RochdaleLeague Two
20 Jul 2024Fleetwood Town1 - 1RochdaleFriendlies Clubs
17 Jul 2021Rochdale3 - 3Fleetwood TownFriendlies Clubs
10 Apr 2021Fleetwood Town1 - 0RochdaleLeague One
3 Oct 2020Rochdale2 - 1Fleetwood TownLeague One
26 Dec 2019Rochdale2 - 3Fleetwood TownLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

Fleetwood Town1.73Dafabetfair 56%

Draw4.00Bet365fair 24%

Rochdale4.75Bet365fair 21%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.9%.

Compare all Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Fleetwood Town	37%	55.5%	-18.5
Draw	32%	24.0%	+8.0
Rochdale	31%	20.5%	+10.5

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Highbury Stadium.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Fleetwood Town 37%, Rochdale 31%, with 32% on the draw.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Fleetwood Town won 3, Rochdale won 2 and 3 ended level, an average of 3.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 7 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished Fleetwood Town 1-2 Rochdale.

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.73 for Fleetwood Town (Dafabet), 4.00 for the draw (Bet365) and 4.75 for Rochdale (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 56% / 24% / 21%. Our model is 10.5 points higher than the bookmakers on Rochdale – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.73 and under at 2.15.

Our Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction

The selection we are backing in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: Rochdale or draw (63% confidence, best price 2.20). Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?: The model gives Fleetwood Town 37%, the draw 32% and Rochdale 31%. Our tip is Rochdale or draw.
When and where is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Highbury Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 26, 2026 · League Two0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–2