Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Gillingham vs Barrow Prediction

Gillingham host Barrow in the FA Cup (1/128-finals) on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 49% / 35% / 16% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Gillingham to win (49%).

Gillingham

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

BarrowDW

Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

Our prediction

Gillingham to win49% probability · best odds 2.00

49%35%16%

GillinghamDrawBarrow

Most likely score: 0 - 0
Goals: Under 2.5 goals
Both teams to score: 55%
Expected goals: 0.2 – 0.5
Double chance: 1X 84% · 12 65% · X2 51%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : Gillingham or draw and -2.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Gillingham	Barrow
Results		DW
Goals scored per game	0.0	1.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

GillinghamBarrow

100%Form

100%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

71%

29%Head to head

62%

38%Goals

67%

34%Overall

Head-to-head

3Gillingham2Draws3Barrow

28 Feb 2026Barrow0 - 1GillinghamLeague Two
13 Dec 2025Gillingham2 - 2BarrowLeague Two
8 Feb 2025Barrow3 - 0GillinghamLeague Two
28 Sep 2024Gillingham2 - 0BarrowLeague Two
13 Apr 2024Gillingham3 - 0BarrowLeague Two
5 Mar 2024Barrow2 - 0GillinghamLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Gillingham2.00Dafabetfair 49%

Draw3.75Betfairfair 26%

Barrow3.90Betfairfair 25%

Compared across 9 bookmakers. Market margin 7.1%.

Compare all Gillingham vs Barrow odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Gillingham	49%	48.9%	+0.1
Draw	35%	25.7%	+9.3
Barrow	16%	25.4%	-9.4

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Gillingham vs Barrow prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Priestfield Stadium.

What the numbers say

Gillingham are the model’s favourites at 49%, 33 points clear of Barrow, while the draw is rated 35%. Expected goals come out at 0.2 for Gillingham and 0.5 for Barrow, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-0 (52%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 3% and both teams to score (GG) 5%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Barrow in attack (100-0), Barrow in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Gillingham won 3, Barrow won 3 and 2 ended level, an average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Barrow 0-1 Gillingham.

Gillingham vs Barrow odds

Across 9 bookmakers the best prices are 2.00 for Gillingham (Dafabet), 3.75 for the draw (Betfair) and 3.90 for Barrow (Betfair). With the margin removed the market reads 49% / 26% / 25%. Our model is 9.3 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.85 and under at 2.00.

Our Gillingham vs Barrow prediction

The selection we are backing in Gillingham vs Barrow: Gillingham to win (49% confidence, best price 2.00). For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 2.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?: The model gives Gillingham 49%, the draw 35% and Barrow 16%. Our tip is Gillingham to win.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Barrow?: 0-0 is the most likely scoreline (52%), from expected goals of 0.2 and 0.5.
Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Barrow?: GG is rated 5% by the model and the best GG price is 1.73.
When and where is Gillingham vs Barrow?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Priestfield Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.