Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Guiseley Afc vs Sutton Utd Prediction

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT: Guiseley AFC welcome Sutton Utd in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Home win 20%, draw 34%, away win 46% according to our model, and the pick is Sutton Utd or draw (80%).

Guiseley AFCDWWWW

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Sutton UtdW

Nethermoor Park, Guiseley

Our prediction

Sutton Utd or draw80% probability · best odds 1.33

20%34%46%

Guiseley AFCDrawSutton Utd

Most likely score: 1 - 0
Both teams to score: 56%
Expected goals: 1.2 – 0.9
Double chance: 1X 54% · 12 66% · X2 80%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Sutton Utd

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Guiseley AFC	Sutton Utd
Results	DWWWW	W
Goals scored per game	2.4	1.0
Goals conceded per game	0.8	0.0

Guiseley AFCSutton Utd

81%

19%Form

92%

8%Attack

100%Defence

0%Poisson

25%

75%Head to head

20%

80%Goals

55%

46%Overall

Head-to-head

1Guiseley AFC0Draws3Sutton Utd

24 Feb 2018Sutton Utd4 - 0Guiseley AFCNational League
25 Nov 2017Guiseley AFC0 - 2Sutton UtdNational League
14 Feb 2017Guiseley AFC2 - 1Sutton UtdNational League
1 Oct 2016Sutton Utd1 - 0Guiseley AFCNational League

Best odds (1X2)

Guiseley AFC3.60Bet365fair 27%

Draw3.70Betfairfair 26%

Sutton Utd2.06Dafabetfair 47%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.9%.

Compare all Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Guiseley AFC	20%	26.9%	-6.9
Draw	34%	26.3%	+7.7
Sutton Utd	46%	46.8%	-0.8

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this FA Cup 1/128-finals meeting at Nethermoor Park.

Guiseley AFC and Sutton Utd form

Guiseley AFC arrive in strong form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (DWWWW). Over those games Guiseley AFC averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, Sutton Utd 1.0 and 0.0.

What the numbers say

Sutton Utd are the model’s favourites at 46%, 26 points clear of Guiseley AFC, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 1.2 for Guiseley AFC and 0.9 for Sutton Utd, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 35% and both teams to score (GG) 41%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Guiseley AFC in attack (92-8), Sutton Utd in defence (100-0), Guiseley AFC in form (81-19).

Head-to-head record

In the last 4 meetings Guiseley AFC won 1, Sutton Utd won 3 and 0 ended level, an average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams scored in 1 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 24 Feb 2018, finished Sutton Utd 4-0 Guiseley AFC.

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 3.60 for Guiseley AFC (Bet365), 3.70 for the draw (Betfair) and 2.06 for Sutton Utd (Dafabet). With the margin removed the market reads 27% / 26% / 47%. Our model is 7.7 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.76 and under at 2.10.

Our Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd prediction

Our pick for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd is Sutton Utd or draw, rated 80%, best price 1.33. Correct score suggestion: 1-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?: The model gives Guiseley AFC 20%, the draw 34% and Sutton Utd 46%. Our tip is Sutton Utd or draw.
What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?: 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (15%), from expected goals of 1.2 and 0.9.
Will both teams score in Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?: GG is rated 41% by the model and the best GG price is 1.70.
When and where is Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Nethermoor Park.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.