Football prediction

Colombia Primera A predictions Clausura - 18

Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza Fc Prediction

Fortaleza FC host Independiente Medellin in the Primera A (clausura - 18) on Saturday 7 November, 02:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 10% / 45% / 45% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Independiente Medellin or draw (90%).

Fortaleza FCDLDLL

02:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Independiente MedellinWLLLW

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Our prediction

Independiente Medellin or draw90% probability

10%45%45%

Fortaleza FCDrawIndependiente Medellin

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 53%
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 55% · 12 55% · X2 90%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Fortaleza FC	Independiente Medellin
Results	DLDLL	WLLLW
Goals scored per game	0.8	1.2
Goals conceded per game	1.4	1.8

Fortaleza FCIndependiente Medellin

25%

75%Form

40%

60%Attack

56%

44%Defence

42%

58%Poisson

93%Head to head

22%

78%Goals

32%

68%Overall

Head-to-head

0Fortaleza FC4Draws4Independiente Medellin

11 May 2026Independiente Medellin1 - 0Fortaleza FCCopa Colombia
26 Apr 2026Independiente Medellin1 - 0Fortaleza FCPrimera A
17 Oct 2025Independiente Medellin3 - 1Fortaleza FCPrimera A
4 Sep 2025Independiente Medellin2 - 1Fortaleza FCCopa Colombia
27 Aug 2025Fortaleza FC0 - 0Independiente MedellinCopa Colombia
27 Apr 2025Fortaleza FC0 - 0Independiente MedellinPrimera A

Best odds

Bookmaker prices for this fixture are not open yet. Markets usually open one to three days before kick-off.

Primera A table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
11	Independiente Medellin	19	+2	26	WLLLW
15	Fortaleza FC	19	-5	22	LLDLD
7	Independiente Medellin	17	0	26	WLLLW
20	Fortaleza FC	17	-8	12	LLDLD

Full Primera A table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 02:00 WAT is the date for this Primera A clausura – 18 meeting at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Fortaleza FC are 20th with 12 points from 17 games (goal difference -8); Independiente Medellin are 7th with 26 points from 17 (0). The 14-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Fortaleza FC and Independiente Medellin form

Form is a concern for Fortaleza FC, who have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (DLDLL). Independiente Medellin are struggling for results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (WLLLW). Over those games Fortaleza FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, Independiente Medellin 1.2 and 1.8.

What the numbers say

Independiente Medellin are the model’s favourites at 45%, 35 points clear of Fortaleza FC, while the draw is rated 45%. Expected goals come out at 1.3 for Fortaleza FC and 1.3 for Independiente Medellin, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 48% and both teams to score (GG) 53%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Independiente Medellin in attack (60-40), Fortaleza FC in defence (56-44), Independiente Medellin in form (75-25).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Fortaleza FC won 0, Independiente Medellin won 4 and 4 ended level, an average of 2.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Independiente Medellin 1-0 Fortaleza FC.

Our Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin prediction

Our pick for Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin is Independiente Medellin or draw, rated 90%. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin?: The model gives Fortaleza FC 10%, the draw 45% and Independiente Medellin 45%. Our tip is Independiente Medellin or draw.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.3 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin?: GG is rated 53% by the model.
When and where is Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin?: Saturday 7 November, 02:00 WAT, Primera A (clausura – 18), Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

Compare every market on the Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

April 26, 2026 · Primera A45% / 45% / 10% · 1–0