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Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Derio DerioHome
WLDDD
Sunday, Oct 25, 2026 Spain
Lagun Onak Lagun OnakAway
WLDDL

Lagun Onak vs Derio Prediction

Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals Review the Derio vs Lagun Onak prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Derio45%
Draw45%
Lagun Onak10%
Model adviceCombo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goalsStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-1.5Expected goals
Goals Market-3.5When returned by feed
Winner SignalDerioWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Derio has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-1.5.
  • The available goals-market signal is -3.5.
  • Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form56% / 44%
Attacking potential60% / 40%
Defensive potential75% / 25%
Poisson distribution100% / 0
Head to head40% / 60%
Goals H2H40% / 60%
Overall signal54.2% / 45.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Derio
WLDDD
Santurtzi2–0W
Salamanca UDS3–5L
San Ignacio1–1D
Compostela1–1D
Real Sociedad III0–0D
56% Form Rating 44%
Lagun Onak
WLDDL
San Ignacio1–0W
Real Sociedad III0–2L
Leioa1–1D
Beasain2–2D
Derio0–2L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Derio2–0Lagun Onak
Lagun Onak2–0Derio
Derio0–1Lagun Onak
Lagun Onak3–0Derio
Derio2–0Lagun Onak
Lagun Onak1–1Derio

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Derio45%
Expected Score-2.5–-1.5Model goals
Goals Signal-3.5Feed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Derio vs Lagun Onak prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

May 24, 2026 · Tercera División RFEF - Group 40.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–0