Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Luton vs Forest Green Prediction

Luton host Forest Green in the FA Cup (1/128-finals) on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 63% / 30% / 7% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Luton or draw (93%).

Luton

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Forest GreenDW

Kenilworth Road, Luton

Our prediction

Luton or draw93% probability · best odds 1.10

63%30%7%

LutonDrawForest Green

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 57%
Expected goals: 0.2 – 1.3
Double chance: 1X 93% · 12 70% · X2 37%

Model advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Luton	Forest Green
Results		DW
Goals scored per game	0.0	2.5
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

LutonForest Green

100%Form

100%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

93%

7%Head to head

72%

28%Goals

83%

18%Overall

Head-to-head

5Luton2Draws1Forest Green

31 Oct 2025Luton4 - 3Forest GreenFA Cup
28 Apr 2018Luton3 - 1Forest GreenLeague Two
16 Dec 2017Forest Green0 - 2LutonLeague Two
21 Apr 2014Luton4 - 1Forest GreenNational League
24 Aug 2013Forest Green0 - 0LutonNational League
9 Feb 2013Luton1 - 1Forest GreenNational League

Best odds (1X2)

Luton1.32Betanofair 72%

Draw6.00Dafabetfair 17%

Forest Green11.00Bet365fair 11%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.0%.

Compare all Luton vs Forest Green odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Luton	63%	71.8%	-8.8
Draw	30%	16.9%	+13.1
Forest Green	7%	11.3%	-4.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Luton vs Forest Green prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Kenilworth Road.

What the numbers say

Luton are the model’s favourites at 63%, 56 points clear of Forest Green, while the draw is rated 30%. Expected goals come out at 0.2 for Luton and 1.3 for Forest Green, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (31%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 17% and both teams to score (GG) 10%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Forest Green in attack (100-0), Forest Green in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Luton won 5, Forest Green won 1 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 5 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 31 Oct 2025, finished Luton 4-3 Forest Green.

Luton vs Forest Green odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.32 for Luton (Betano), 6.00 for the draw (Dafabet) and 11.00 for Forest Green (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 72% / 17% / 11%. Our model is 13.1 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.37 and under at 3.10.

Our Luton vs Forest Green prediction

The selection we are backing in Luton vs Forest Green: Luton or draw (93% confidence, best price 1.10). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Luton vs Forest Green?: The model gives Luton 63%, the draw 30% and Forest Green 7%. Our tip is Luton or draw.
What is the predicted score for Luton vs Forest Green?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (31%), from expected goals of 0.2 and 1.3.
Will both teams score in Luton vs Forest Green?: GG is rated 10% by the model and the best GG price is 1.67.
When and where is Luton vs Forest Green?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Kenilworth Road.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.