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Liga Nacional
Marquense MarquenseHome
LWDDW
Friday, Oct 30, 2026 Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Guastatoya GuastatoyaAway
LDDLW

Marquense vs Guastatoya Prediction

The Marquense vs Guastatoya football prediction for October 30, 2026 in Liga Nacional, Guatemala uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Marquense 10%, draw 45% and Guastatoya 45%. Expected goals are Marquense -2.5 and Guastatoya -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Guastatoya. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Marquense10%
Draw45%
Guastatoya45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or GuastatoyaStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalGuastatoyaWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Guastatoya has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Guastatoya

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form62% / 38%
Attacking potential58% / 42%
Defensive potential53% / 47%
Poisson distribution41% / 59%
Head to head29% / 71%
Goals H2H22% / 78%
Overall signal44.2% / 55.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Marquense
LWDDW
Cobán Imperial1–3L
Suchitepéquez2–1W
Mixco1–1D
Municipal1–1D
Antigua GFC2–1W
62% Form Rating 38%
Guastatoya
LDDLW
Mixco1–3L
Municipal1–1D
Antigua GFC1–1D
Malacateco0–2L
Aurora2–1W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Guastatoya1–2Marquense
Guastatoya4–0Marquense
Marquense2–2Guastatoya
Guastatoya5–0Marquense
Marquense0–2Guastatoya
Guastatoya1–0Marquense

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Guastatoya45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Marquense vs Guastatoya prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

August 29, 2026 · Liga Nacional0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–2