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USL Championship
Monterey Bay Monterey BayHome
DLDLL
Sunday, Sep 27, 2026 Cardinale Stadium
Lexington LexingtonAway
LLWLW

Monterey Bay vs Lexington Prediction

Double chance : draw or Lexington Review the Monterey Bay vs Lexington prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for USL Championship.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Monterey Bay10%
Draw45%
Lexington45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or LexingtonStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals MarketWhen returned by feed
Winner SignalLexingtonWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Lexington has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Lexington

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form25% / 75%
Attacking potential56% / 44%
Defensive potential27% / 73%
Poisson distribution43% / 57%
Head to head36% / 64%
Goals H2H42% / 58%
Overall signal38.2% / 61.8%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Monterey Bay
DLDLL
Sacramento Republic1–1D
Rhode Island1–3L
Oakland Roots1–1D
New Mexico United2–5L
El Paso Locomotive0–1L
25% Form Rating 75%
Lexington
LLWLW
Colorado Springs0–1L
New Mexico United1–2L
Las Vegas Lights2–0W
Sacramento Republic0–1L
Phoenix Rising1–0W

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings
Lexington3–2Monterey Bay
Lexington3–1Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay2–1Lexington
Lexington0–0Monterey Bay

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Lexington45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals SignalFeed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Monterey Bay vs Lexington prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

August 1, 2026 · USL Championship45% / 45% / 10% · 3–2