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Premier League
Leeds LeedsHome
LDDWW
Monday, Sep 14, 2026 Elland Road, Leeds
Newcastle NewcastleAway
WDWWD

Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction

Double chance : draw or Newcastle Review the Leeds vs Newcastle prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Premier League.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Leeds10%
Draw45%
Newcastle45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or NewcastleStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-1.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals MarketWhen returned by feed
Winner SignalNewcastleWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Newcastle has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -1.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Newcastle

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form50% / 50%
Attacking potential33% / 67%
Defensive potential67% / 33%
Poisson distribution0 / 100%
Head to head25% / 75%
Goals H2H42% / 58%
Overall signal43.4% / 56.6%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Leeds
LDDWW
Chelsea3–6L
Brighton1–1D
Brentford1–1D
Nottingham Forest2–0W
Nottingham Forest1–0W
50% Form Rating 50%
Newcastle
WDWWD
Millwall1–0W
Bournemouth2–2D
Tottenham2–0W
West Brom3–2W
Liverpool2–2D

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Newcastle4–3Leeds
Leeds0–0Newcastle
Leeds2–2Newcastle
Newcastle0–0Leeds
Leeds0–1Newcastle
Newcastle1–1Leeds

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Newcastle45%
Expected Score-1.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals SignalFeed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Leeds vs Newcastle prediction analysis