Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Northampton vs York Prediction

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT: York welcome Northampton in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Home win 31%, draw 36%, away win 33% according to our model, and the pick is Northampton or draw (69%).

York

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Northampton

York`s LNER Community Stadium, York

Our prediction

Northampton or draw69% probability · best odds 2.00

31%36%33%

YorkDrawNorthampton

Both teams to score: 52%
Double chance: 1X 67% · 12 64% · X2 69%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Northampton

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	York	Northampton
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

YorkNorthampton

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

15%

85%Head to head

25%

75%Goals

20%

80%Overall

Head-to-head

3York2Draws3Northampton

10 Oct 2026York1 - 1NorthamptonLeague Two
23 Feb 2016York1 - 2NorthamptonLeague Two
6 Feb 2016Northampton2 - 0YorkLeague Two
21 Feb 2015Northampton3 - 0YorkLeague Two
16 Aug 2014York1 - 1NorthamptonLeague Two
11 Jan 2014Northampton0 - 2YorkLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

York1.88Dafabetfair 51%

Draw3.90Pinnaclefair 26%

Northampton4.20William Hillfair 23%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.9%.

Compare all York vs Northampton odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
York	31%	51.2%	-20.2
Draw	36%	26.0%	+10.0
Northampton	33%	22.8%	+10.2

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

York vs Northampton prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this FA Cup 1/128-finals meeting at York`s LNER Community Stadium.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: York 31%, Northampton 33%, with 36% on the draw.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings York won 3, Northampton won 3 and 2 ended level, an average of 2.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 10 Oct 2026, finished York 1-1 Northampton.

York vs Northampton odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.88 for York (Dafabet), 3.90 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.20 for Northampton (William Hill). With the margin removed the market reads 51% / 26% / 23%. Our model is 10.2 points higher than the bookmakers on Northampton – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and under at 1.93.

Our York vs Northampton prediction

Our pick for York vs Northampton is Northampton or draw, rated 69%, best price 2.00. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win York vs Northampton?: The model gives York 31%, the draw 36% and Northampton 33%. Our tip is Northampton or draw.
When and where is York vs Northampton?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), York`s LNER Community Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.