Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Oxford United vs Stevenage Prediction

Oxford United host Stevenage in the FA Cup (1/128-finals) on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 48% / 37% / 15% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Oxford United or draw (85%).

Oxford United

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Stevenage

Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Our prediction

Oxford United or draw85% probability · best odds 1.31

48%37%15%

Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage

Both teams to score: 51%
Double chance: 1X 85% · 12 63% · X2 52%

Model advice: Double chance : Oxford United or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Oxford United	Stevenage
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

Oxford UnitedStevenage

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

71%

29%Head to head

65%

35%Goals

68%

32%Overall

Head-to-head

5Oxford United2Draws1Stevenage

22 Aug 2026Stevenage1 - 2Oxford UnitedLeague One
19 Apr 2024Oxford United1 - 1StevenageLeague One
30 Sep 2023Stevenage1 - 3Oxford UnitedLeague One
5 Oct 2021Oxford United1 - 2StevenageEFL Trophy
29 Aug 2017Stevenage2 - 6Oxford UnitedEFL Trophy
25 Mar 2016Oxford United1 - 1StevenageLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Oxford United2.05William Hillfair 46%

Draw3.50Dafabetfair 28%

Stevenage3.80Pinnaclefair 26%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.7%.

Compare all Oxford United vs Stevenage odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Oxford United	48%	46.4%	+1.6
Draw	37%	27.8%	+9.2
Stevenage	15%	25.8%	-10.8

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Oxford United vs Stevenage: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this FA Cup 1/128-finals meeting at Kassam Stadium.

What the numbers say

Oxford United are the model’s favourites at 48%, 33 points clear of Stevenage, while the draw is rated 37%.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Oxford United won 5, Stevenage won 1 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 7 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished Stevenage 1-2 Oxford United.

Oxford United vs Stevenage odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.05 for Oxford United (William Hill), 3.50 for the draw (Dafabet) and 3.80 for Stevenage (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 46% / 28% / 26%. Our model is 9.2 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.02 and under at 1.80.

Our Oxford United vs Stevenage prediction

Our pick for Oxford United vs Stevenage is Oxford United or draw, rated 85%, best price 1.31. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?: The model gives Oxford United 48%, the draw 37% and Stevenage 15%. Our tip is Oxford United or draw.
When and where is Oxford United vs Stevenage?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Kassam Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

August 22, 2026 · League One0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–2

April 19, 2024 · League One0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

September 30, 2023 · League One0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–3

October 5, 2021 · EFL Trophy0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–2

August 29, 2017 · EFL Trophy0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–6

March 25, 2016 · League Two0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

Upcoming meetings

Known future fixtures

November 7, 2026 15:00NS

March 13, 2027 15:00NS