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Serie A
Santos SantosHome
WLDWW
Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026 Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Palmeiras PalmeirasAway
LWWWW

Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction

The Santos vs Palmeiras football prediction for October 28, 2026 in Serie A, Brazil uses the newest available model signal to frame the matchup before kick-off. The current win probabilities are Santos 10%, draw 45% and Palmeiras 45%. Expected goals are Santos -2.5 and Palmeiras -2.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or Palmeiras. Use the probability split as one layer of research, then check form, squad news, H2H trends, venue context and live market prices before making a match assessment.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Santos10%
Draw45%
Palmeiras45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or PalmeirasStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalPalmeirasWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Palmeiras has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : draw or Palmeiras

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form43% / 57%
Attacking potential50% / 50%
Defensive potential13% / 88%
Poisson distribution28% / 72%
Head to head38% / 62%
Goals H2H29% / 71%
Overall signal33.5% / 66.7%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Santos
WLDWW
Fluminense2–1W
Atletico-MG1–2L
Flamengo2–2D
Sao Paulo2–1W
Remo2–1W
43% Form Rating 57%
Palmeiras
LWWWW
Fluminense0–1L
Atletico Paranaense2–0W
Fluminense2–1W
Corinthians4–1W
Bahia1–0W

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Santos0–0Palmeiras
Palmeiras3–0Santos
Palmeiras1–1Santos
Palmeiras1–0Santos
Santos1–0Palmeiras
Palmeiras2–0Santos

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Palmeiras45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

Santos vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Prediction history

Recent prediction snapshots

September 3, 2026 · Copa Do Brasil10% / 45% / 45% · 0–0

August 27, 2026 · Copa Do Brasil0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 3–0

May 2, 2026 · Serie A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–1

January 14, 2026 · Paulista - A10.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–0

November 16, 2025 · Serie A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 1–0

November 7, 2025 · Serie A0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 · 2–0