Plymouth vs Alvechurch Prediction

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Home Park.

Plymouth and Alvechurch form

Alvechurch are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (WWWDW). Over those games Plymouth averaged 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per match, Alvechurch 2.6 and 0.8.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Plymouth 33%, Alvechurch 33%, with 33% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 0.4 for Plymouth and 1.3 for Alvechurch, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 24% and both teams to score (GG) 24%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Alvechurch in attack (100-0), Plymouth in defence (100-0), Alvechurch in form (100-0).

Plymouth vs Alvechurch odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.22 for Plymouth (William Hill), 7.20 for the draw (Dafabet) and 12.50 for Alvechurch (Marathonbet). With the margin removed the market reads 77% / 14% / 8%. Our model is 24.7 points higher than the bookmakers on Alvechurch – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.44 and under at 2.88.

Our Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction

The selection we are backing in Plymouth vs Alvechurch: Plymouth to win (33% confidence, best price 1.22). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

The model gives Plymouth 33%, the draw 33% and Alvechurch 33%. Our tip is Plymouth to win.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline (24%), from expected goals of 0.4 and 1.3.

Will both teams score in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

GG is rated 24% by the model and the best GG price is 2.00.

When and where is Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Home Park.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.