Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Reading vs Peterborough Prediction

Peterborough vs Reading kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 21:00 WAT in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). The model gives Peterborough 24%, the draw 34% and Reading 42%, and the pick is Reading or draw (76%).

Peterborough

21:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Reading

ABAX Stadium, Peterborough

Our prediction

Reading or draw76% probability · best odds 1.44

24%34%42%

PeterboroughDrawReading

Both teams to score: 60%
Double chance: 1X 58% · 12 66% · X2 76%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Reading

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Peterborough	Reading
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

PeterboroughReading

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

38%

62%Head to head

44%

56%Goals

41%

59%Overall

Head-to-head

2Peterborough3Draws3Reading

29 Dec 2025Peterborough1 - 1ReadingLeague One
9 Dec 2025Reading1 - 2PeterboroughLeague One
29 Mar 2025Reading3 - 1PeterboroughLeague One
23 Nov 2024Peterborough1 - 2ReadingLeague One
26 Dec 2023Peterborough2 - 2ReadingLeague One
5 Aug 2023Reading0 - 1PeterboroughLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

Peterborough2.90Bet365fair 33%

Draw3.65Dafabetfair 27%

Reading2.38William Hillfair 40%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.0%.

Compare all Peterborough vs Reading odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Peterborough	24%	33.2%	-9.2
Draw	34%	26.5%	+7.5
Reading	42%	40.3%	+1.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Peterborough vs Reading prediction and preview (7 Nov 2026 WAT)

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 21:00 WAT at ABAX Stadium.

What the numbers say

Reading are the model’s favourites at 42%, 18 points clear of Peterborough, while the draw is rated 34%.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Peterborough won 2, Reading won 3 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 5 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 29 Dec 2025, finished Peterborough 1-1 Reading.

Peterborough vs Reading odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.90 for Peterborough (Bet365), 3.65 for the draw (Dafabet) and 2.38 for Reading (William Hill). With the margin removed the market reads 33% / 27% / 40%. Our model is 7.5 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.69 and under at 2.22.

Our Peterborough vs Reading prediction

The selection we are backing in Peterborough vs Reading: Reading or draw (76% confidence, best price 1.44). Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Peterborough vs Reading?: The model gives Peterborough 24%, the draw 34% and Reading 42%. Our tip is Reading or draw.
When and where is Peterborough vs Reading?: Saturday 7 November, 21:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), ABAX Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.