Football prediction

Major League Soccer predictions Matchday 34

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Fc Prediction

Sunday 8 November, 01:00 WAT: Minnesota United FC welcome San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (matchday 34). Home win 51%, draw 32%, away win 17% according to our model, and the pick is Minnesota United FC or draw (83%).

Minnesota United FCDWDWW

01:00Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

San Jose EarthquakesDDLDW

Allianz Field, Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Minnesota United FC or draw83% probability · best odds 1.26

51%32%17%

Minnesota United FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 65%
Expected goals: 1.9 – 1.2
Double chance: 1X 83% · 12 68% · X2 49%

Model advice: Double chance : Minnesota United FC or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Minnesota United FC	San Jose Earthquakes
Results	DWDWW	DDLDW
Goals scored per game	2.2	1.2
Goals conceded per game	1.2	1.6

Minnesota United FCSan Jose Earthquakes

65%

35%Form

65%

35%Attack

57%

43%Defence

40%

60%Poisson

80%

20%Head to head

67%

33%Goals

62%

38%Overall

Head-to-head

5Minnesota United FC2Draws1San Jose Earthquakes

23 Aug 2026San Jose Earthquakes1 - 5Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
29 Apr 2026San Jose Earthquakes4 - 2Minnesota United FCUS Open Cup
13 Jul 2025Minnesota United FC4 - 1San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
9 Mar 2025San Jose Earthquakes0 - 1Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
1 Sep 2024San Jose Earthquakes1 - 2Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
21 Jul 2024Minnesota United FC2 - 0San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

Best odds (1X2)

Minnesota United FC1.78Betanofair 54%

Draw4.32Pinnaclefair 23%

San Jose Earthquakes4.20Bet365fair 23%

Compared across 9 bookmakers. Market margin 7.2%.

Compare all Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Minnesota United FC	51%	54.3%	-3.3
Draw	32%	22.6%	+9.4
San Jose Earthquakes	17%	23.2%	-6.2

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Major League Soccer table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	+8	52	WDLDD
12	Minnesota United FC	33	-4	41	WWDWD

Full Major League Soccer table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes preview, prediction and stats – 8 Nov 2026 WAT

This Major League Soccer matchday 34 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 01:00 WAT at Allianz Field. Minnesota United FC are 12th with 41 points from 33 games (goal difference -4); San Jose Earthquakes are 3rd with 52 points from 33 (+8). The 11-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes form

Over their last 5 matches Minnesota United FC have managed 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (DWDWW). San Jose Earthquakes have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (DDLDW) across their last 5. Over those games Minnesota United FC averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, San Jose Earthquakes 1.2 and 1.6.

What the numbers say

Minnesota United FC are the model’s favourites at 51%, 34 points clear of San Jose Earthquakes, while the draw is rated 32%. Expected goals come out at 1.9 for Minnesota United FC and 1.2 for San Jose Earthquakes, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 60% and both teams to score (GG) 59%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Minnesota United FC in attack (65-35), Minnesota United FC in defence (57-43), Minnesota United FC in form (65-35).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Minnesota United FC won 5, San Jose Earthquakes won 1 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.4 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, finished San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC.

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes odds

Across 9 bookmakers the best prices are 1.78 for Minnesota United FC (Betano), 4.32 for the draw (Pinnacle) and 4.20 for San Jose Earthquakes (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 54% / 23% / 23%. Our model is 9.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.45 and under at 2.91.

Our Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

The selection we are backing in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: Minnesota United FC or draw (83% confidence, best price 1.26). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?: The model gives Minnesota United FC 51%, the draw 32% and San Jose Earthquakes 17%. Our tip is Minnesota United FC or draw.
What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (10%), from expected goals of 1.9 and 1.2.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?: GG is rated 59% by the model and the best GG price is 1.45.
When and where is Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?: Sunday 8 November, 01:00 WAT, Major League Soccer (matchday 34), Allianz Field.

Compare every market on the Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

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