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Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05Home
WLWWL
Saturday, Dec 12, 2026 Mewa Arena, Mainz
SC Freiburg SC FreiburgAway
LWWWD

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg prediction for December 12, 2026 in Bundesliga, Germany reviews the latest model outlook for this football matchup. The current win probabilities are FSV Mainz 05 10%, draw 45% and SC Freiburg 45%. Expected goals are FSV Mainz 05 -2.5 and SC Freiburg -3.5. Model advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg. Compare the forecast with current form, H2H, injuries, confirmed lineups and available odds before assessing the match.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
FSV Mainz 0510%
Draw45%
SC Freiburg45%
Model adviceDouble chance : draw or SC FreiburgStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-3.5Expected goals
Goals Market—When returned by feed
Winner SignalSC FreiburgWin or draw
Double ChanceX2Only when supported

Key Match Insights

  • SC Freiburg has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-3.5.
  • Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form47% / 53%
Attacking potential56% / 44%
Defensive potential33% / 67%
Poisson distribution26% / 74%
Head to head25% / 75%
Goals H2H27% / 73%
Overall signal35.7% / 64.3%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
FSV Mainz 05
WLWWL
FC Schalke 041–0W
Bayer Leverkusen3–4L
Waldhof Mannheim3–0W
Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3W
Eintracht Frankfurt1–3L
47% Form Rating 53%
SC Freiburg
LWWWD
Bayer Leverkusen1–2L
FK Jablonec3–2W
FC Schalke 042–1W
FC Luzern4–2W
Eintracht Frankfurt2–2D

Head to Head

Last 0 meetings

No completed head-to-head meetings are available yet.

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2SC Freiburg45%
Expected Score-2.5–-3.5Model goals
Goals Signal—Feed market
Double ChanceX2If supported
Prediction analysis

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg prediction analysis