Football prediction

Bundesliga Matchday 9

Sc Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

SC Freiburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga (matchday 9) on Sunday 8 November, 17:30 WAT. Our model rates the match 52% / 27% / 21% (home / draw / away), and the pick is SC Freiburg to win (52%).

SC FreiburgDWLLW

17:30Sun 8 Nov 2026 · WAT

Union BerlinLWDDD

Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg

Our prediction

SC Freiburg to win52% probability · best odds 1.56

52%27%21%

SC FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Goals: Over 1.5 goals
Both teams to score: 55%
Expected goals: 1.7 – 1.2
Double chance: 1X 79% · 12 73% · X2 48%

Model advice: Combo Winner : SC Freiburg and +1.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	SC Freiburg	Union Berlin
Results	DWLLW	LWDDD
Goals scored per game	1.6	0.6
Goals conceded per game	1.8	1.8

SC FreiburgUnion Berlin

54%

46%Form

73%

27%Attack

50%

50%Defence

95%

5%Poisson

15%

85%Head to head

29%

71%Goals

53%

47%Overall

Head-to-head

1SC Freiburg3Draws4Union Berlin

15 Mar 2026SC Freiburg0 - 1Union BerlinBundesliga
1 Nov 2025Union Berlin0 - 0SC FreiburgBundesliga
30 Mar 2025SC Freiburg1 - 2Union BerlinBundesliga
8 Nov 2024Union Berlin0 - 0SC FreiburgBundesliga
18 May 2024Union Berlin2 - 1SC FreiburgBundesliga
13 Jan 2024SC Freiburg0 - 0Union BerlinBundesliga

Best odds (1X2)

SC Freiburg1.561xBetfair 63%

Draw4.721xBetfair 21%

Union Berlin7.00Betfairfair 16%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 6.0%.

Compare all SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
SC Freiburg	52%	63.3%	-11.3
Draw	27%	21.2%	+5.8
Union Berlin	21%	15.5%	+5.5

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Bundesliga table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
3	SC Freiburg	8	+8	16	WLLWD
16	Union Berlin	8	-12	7	DDDWL

Full Bundesliga table and predictions

Prediction analysis

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction and preview (8 Nov 2026 WAT)

This Bundesliga matchday 9 fixture is played on Sunday 8 November, 17:30 WAT at Europa-Park Stadion. SC Freiburg are 3rd with 16 points from 8 games (goal difference +8); Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points from 8 (-12).

SC Freiburg and Union Berlin form

Over their last 5 matches SC Freiburg have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (DWLLW). Union Berlin have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (LWDDD) across their last 5. Over those games SC Freiburg averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, Union Berlin 0.6 and 1.8.

What the numbers say

SC Freiburg are the model’s favourites at 52%, 31 points clear of Union Berlin, while the draw is rated 27%. Expected goals come out at 1.7 for SC Freiburg and 1.2 for Union Berlin, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 55% and both teams to score (GG) 57%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: SC Freiburg in attack (73-27).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings SC Freiburg won 1, Union Berlin won 4 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.3 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished SC Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin.

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.56 for SC Freiburg (1xBet), 4.72 for the draw (1xBet) and 7.00 for Union Berlin (Betfair). With the margin removed the market reads 63% / 21% / 16%. Our model is 5.8 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.66 and under at 2.42.

Our SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction

The selection we are backing in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: SC Freiburg to win (52% confidence, best price 1.56). For a goals angle, the model leans towards over 1.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?: The model gives SC Freiburg 52%, the draw 27% and Union Berlin 21%. Our tip is SC Freiburg to win.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (11%), from expected goals of 1.7 and 1.2.
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?: GG is rated 57% by the model and the best GG price is 1.75.
When and where is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?: Sunday 8 November, 17:30 WAT, Bundesliga (matchday 9), Europa-Park Stadion.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.