Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Scunthorpe vs Port Vale Prediction

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). The model gives Port Vale 54%, the draw 32% and Scunthorpe 14%, and the pick is Port Vale to win (54%).

Port Vale

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

ScunthorpeW

Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent

Our prediction

Port Vale to win54% probability · best odds 1.59

54%32%14%

Port ValeDrawScunthorpe

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Goals: Under 3.5 goals
Both teams to score: 54%
Expected goals: 0.5 – 1.5
Double chance: 1X 86% · 12 68% · X2 46%

Model advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and -3.5 goals

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Port Vale	Scunthorpe
Results		W
Goals scored per game	0.0	3.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	1.0

Port ValeScunthorpe

100%Form

100%Attack

100%

0%Defence

0%Poisson

60%

40%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

55%

45%Overall

Head-to-head

3Port Vale1Draws4Scunthorpe

29 Jan 2022Port Vale1 - 0ScunthorpeLeague Two
25 Sep 2021Scunthorpe0 - 1Port ValeLeague Two
26 Jan 2021Scunthorpe2 - 0Port ValeLeague Two
17 Nov 2020Port Vale0 - 1ScunthorpeLeague Two
5 Sep 2020Scunthorpe1 - 2Port ValeLeague Cup
29 Feb 2020Port Vale2 - 2ScunthorpeLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Port Vale1.59Dafabetfair 60%

Draw4.30Dafabetfair 23%

Scunthorpe5.75Bet365fair 18%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.2%.

Compare all Port Vale vs Scunthorpe odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Port Vale	54%	59.6%	-5.6
Draw	32%	22.6%	+9.4
Scunthorpe	14%	17.7%	-3.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Vale Park.

What the numbers say

Port Vale are the model’s favourites at 54%, 40 points clear of Scunthorpe, while the draw is rated 32%. Expected goals come out at 0.5 for Port Vale and 1.5 for Scunthorpe, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 32% and both teams to score (GG) 31%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Scunthorpe in attack (100-0), Port Vale in defence (100-0), Scunthorpe in form (100-0).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Port Vale won 3, Scunthorpe won 4 and 1 ended level, an average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 29 Jan 2022, finished Port Vale 1-0 Scunthorpe.

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 1.59 for Port Vale (Dafabet), 4.30 for the draw (Dafabet) and 5.75 for Scunthorpe (Bet365). With the margin removed the market reads 60% / 23% / 18%. Our model is 9.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.73 and under at 2.16.

Our Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction

The selection we are backing in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: Port Vale to win (54% confidence, best price 1.59). For a goals angle, the model leans towards under 3.5 goals. Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?: The model gives Port Vale 54%, the draw 32% and Scunthorpe 14%. Our tip is Port Vale to win.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (20%), from expected goals of 0.5 and 1.5.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?: GG is rated 31% by the model and the best GG price is 1.80.
When and where is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Vale Park.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.