Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Walsall vs Newport County Prediction

Newport County vs Walsall kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). The model gives Newport County 26%, the draw 35% and Walsall 39%, and the pick is Walsall or draw (74%).

Newport County

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

Walsall

Rodney Parade, Newport

Our prediction

Walsall or draw74% probability · best odds 1.52

26%35%39%

Newport CountyDrawWalsall

Both teams to score: 55%
Double chance: 1X 61% · 12 65% · X2 74%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Walsall

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Newport County	Walsall
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

Newport CountyWalsall

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

29%

71%Head to head

43%

57%Goals

36%

64%Overall

Head-to-head

1Newport County3Draws4Walsall

21 Mar 2026Walsall2 - 1Newport CountyLeague Two
8 Nov 2025Newport County2 - 4WalsallLeague Two
21 Apr 2025Newport County0 - 0WalsallLeague Two
29 Dec 2024Walsall2 - 0Newport CountyLeague Two
10 Feb 2024Walsall0 - 3Newport CountyLeague Two
20 Oct 2023Newport County3 - 3WalsallLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Newport County2.60Bet365fair 37%

Draw3.45Dafabetfair 28%

Walsall2.70William Hillfair 35%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.2%.

Compare all Newport County vs Walsall odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Newport County	26%	36.7%	-10.7
Draw	35%	28.0%	+7.0
Walsall	39%	35.3%	+3.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Newport County vs Walsall preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this FA Cup 1/128-finals meeting at Rodney Parade.

What the numbers say

Walsall are the model’s favourites at 39%, 13 points clear of Newport County, while the draw is rated 35%.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Newport County won 1, Walsall won 4 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.9 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Walsall 2-1 Newport County.

Newport County vs Walsall odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.60 for Newport County (Bet365), 3.45 for the draw (Dafabet) and 2.70 for Walsall (William Hill). With the margin removed the market reads 37% / 28% / 35%. Our model is 7.0 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.98 and under at 1.91.

Our Newport County vs Walsall prediction

Our pick for Newport County vs Walsall is Walsall or draw, rated 74%, best price 1.52. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Newport County vs Walsall?: The model gives Newport County 26%, the draw 35% and Walsall 39%. Our tip is Walsall or draw.
When and where is Newport County vs Walsall?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Rodney Parade.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.