Primeira Liga Matchday 11
Estrela vs Benfica Odds
Estrela vs Benfica (Primeira Liga (matchday 11), Sunday 8 November, 21:30 WAT): the top prices we found across 10 bookmakers are 11.80 / 6.74 / 1.28 for home, draw and away.
Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora
Estrela vs Benfica odds by market
Match Winner10 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | Estrela | Draw | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 10.50 | 6.00 | 1.23 |
| Betfair | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 5.75 | 1.22 |
| Pinnacle | 10.27 | 6.61 | 1.23 |
| SBO | 7.34 | 5.13 | 1.23 |
| 1xBet | 11.80 | 6.74 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 9.75 | 6.00 | 1.28 |
| Dafabet | 10.00 | 6.40 | 1.27 |
| Average | 9.92 | 6.06 | 1.24 |
| Fair probability | 9.4% | 15.4% | 75.2% |
Average bookmaker margin: 7.2%.
Double Chance8 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.00 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.84 | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 1.04 | 1.07 |
| SBO | 3.48 | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| 1xBet | 4.18 | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Betano | 3.85 | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Average | 3.83 | 1.10 | 1.05 |
Home/Away5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | Estrela | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 8.50 | 1.06 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 1.07 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 1.05 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 1.06 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 1.09 |
| Average | 7.90 | 1.07 |
| Fair probability | 11.9% | 88.1% |
Average bookmaker margin: 6.1%.
Goals Over/Under8 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 6.00 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 5.70 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 2.08 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | — | — | 1.40 | 2.88 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 5.75 | 1.42 | 2.59 | 2.01 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 5.88 | 1.40 | 2.86 | 2.06 | 1.75 |
| SBO | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 5.86 | 1.44 | 2.74 | 2.16 | 1.76 |
| Betano | 1.15 | 5.70 | 1.47 | 2.80 | 2.12 | 1.75 |
| Average | 1.11 | 5.82 | 1.42 | 2.74 | 2.09 | 1.72 |
Both Teams Score6 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 1.88 |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 1.91 |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Fair probability | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Average bookmaker margin: 7.9%.
Total - Home7 bookmakers
- Under 2.51.04Betano
- Under 1.51.20Betfair
- Under 11.36Marathonbet
- Over 0.51.73Bet365
- Under 0.52.11Pinnacle
- Over 13.101xBet
- Over 1.54.50Bet365
- Over 2.517.00Bet365
- Over 3.551.00Bet365
Total - Away7 bookmakers
- Under 6.51.01Bet365
- Under 5.51.04Betano
- Over 11.041xBet
- Over 0.51.06Betano
- Under 4.51.12Betano
- Under 41.131xBet
- Over 1.51.30Betano
- Under 3.51.33Betfair
- Over 21.451xBet
- Under 31.471xBet
- Over 2.51.90Betfair
- Under 2.51.92Pinnacle
- Over 32.51Marathonbet
- Under 22.71Marathonbet
- Over 3.53.40Bet365
- Under 1.53.93Pinnacle
- Over 45.05Marathonbet
- Over 4.56.50Bet365
Odd/Even7 bookmakers
- Even1.93SBO
- Odd1.98Bet365
Goals Over/Under First Half9 bookmakers
- Under 4.51.02Betano
- Under 3.51.06Betano
- Under 2.51.21Betano
- Under 2.251.211xBet
- Over 0.51.25Betano
- Over 0.751.30BetVictor
- Under 2.01.32Betano
- Over 1.01.44Betano
- Under 1.751.511xBet
- Under 1.51.75Betano
- Over 1.251.75Pinnacle
- Under 1.252.08SBO
- Over 1.52.10Betano
- Over 1.752.53Pinnacle
- Under 1.02.82Pinnacle
- Over 2.03.40Betano
- Under 0.753.48Pinnacle
- Over 2.253.741xBet
Asian Handicap8 bookmakers
- Home +41.031xBet
- Home +4.51.031xBet
- Away +01.041xBet
- Home +3.751.12Bet365
- Away +0.251.16Bet365
- Home +3.51.17Bet365
- Home +3.251.19Bet365
- Home +31.22Bet365
- Away +0.51.25Bet365
- Away +0.751.30Bet365
- Home +2.751.32Bet365
- Away +11.39Betano
- Home +2.51.47Betano
- Home +2.251.531xBet
- Away +1.251.561xBet
- Home +21.72SBO
- Away +1.51.781xBet
- Home +1.751.93Pinnacle
Handicap Result3 bookmakers
- Away -11.06Bet365
- Home +41.17Bet365
- Home +31.44Bet365
- Away +11.67Bet365
- Home +22.10Bet365
- Away +22.70Betfair
- Home +13.84Marathonbet
- Draw +14.33Bet365
- Draw +24.33Bet365
- Away +35.00Bet365
- Draw +35.50Bet365
- Draw +48.00Bet365
- Away +410.00Bet365
- Draw -113.00Bet365
- Home -126.00Bet365
Exact Score8 bookmakers
- 0:27.80Betano
- 0:38.75Betano
- 1:29.50Betano
- 0:110.00Betfair
- 1:310.75Betano
- 1:112.50Betano
- 0:413.00Betano
- 1:416.00Betano
- 2:222.00Betano
- 0:524.00Betano
- 0:024.04SBO
- 2:325.00Betano
- 2:130.00Betano
- 1:530.00Betano
- 1:031.00Marathonbet
- 2:437.00Betano
First Half Winner9 bookmakers
- Benfica1.67Betano
- Draw3.02Pinnacle
- Estrela8.51Pinnacle
HT/FT Double5 bookmakers
- Away/Away1.75Betano
- X24.53SBO
- Draw/Draw9.50Bet365
- Home/Home19.00Bet365
- 1223.00Marathonbet
- Draw/Home23.00Marathonbet
- Away/Draw23.00Marathonbet
- 1X24.00Marathonbet
- Away/Home80.00Betano
Corners Over Under5 bookmakers
- Over 5.51.01Marathonbet
- Under 14.51.061xBet
- Over 6.51.08Marathonbet
- Under 13.51.08Marathonbet
- Under 12.51.17Marathonbet
- Over 7.751.241xBet
- Over 7.51.29Betano
- Under 11.51.31Marathonbet
- Over 8.251.341xBet
- Under 11.251.351xBet
- Under 10.751.461xBet
- Over 8.751.481xBet
- Over 91.50Pinnacle
- Over 8.51.52Betano
- Under 111.54Pinnacle
- Under 10.251.621xBet
- Over 9.251.651xBet
- Under 10.51.72Pinnacle
Cards Over/Under1 bookmaker
- Under 4.51.75Betano
- Over 4.52.02Betano
Updated 6 Nov, 12:29 WAT · Highlighted cells are the best price for each outcome. Prices move; confirm them on the bookmaker before betting.
Best odds (1X2)
Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.2%.
Model vs bookmakers
| Outcome | Our model | Market (fair) | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 6% | 9.4% | -3.4 |
| Draw | 29% | 15.4% | +13.6 |
| Benfica | 65% | 75.2% | -10.2 |
A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.
Estrela vs Benfica odds analysis
Benfica are the bookmakers’ favourites, with a margin-free probability of 75%. The longest price on them is 1.28 at Betano, while Estrela can be backed at up to 11.80. The draw pays 6.74 at best.
The average 1X2 margin is 7.2%. Shopping for the best price matters here: the gap between the highest and the average price is where most of that margin sits.
Goals are expected: the market gives Over 2.5 a 66% chance (best price 1.47).
Both teams to score (GG) is priced at 1.83 for Yes and 1.95 for No, a 52% chance that both sides find the net.
Our model is more positive than the market on the draw, by 13.6 percentage points. That is the outcome to research first.
Estrela vs Benfica odds: best prices and market guide
Estrela vs Benfica odds questions
What are the best odds for Estrela vs Benfica?
Estrela 11.80 (1xBet), draw 6.74 (1xBet), Benfica 1.28 (Betano), from 10 bookmakers compared in the latest update.
Who is the favourite in Estrela vs Benfica?
Benfica, with a margin-free probability of 75%.
What are the over/under 2.5 odds for Estrela vs Benfica?
Over 2.5 goals is 1.47 and under 2.5 is 2.88 at the best available prices.