Football prediction

FA Cup 1/128-finals

Afc Wimbledon vs Crewe Prediction

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). The model gives Crewe 22%, the draw 37% and AFC Wimbledon 41%, and the pick is AFC Wimbledon or draw (78%).

Crewe

16:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

AFC Wimbledon

Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Our prediction

AFC Wimbledon or draw78% probability · best odds 1.53

22%37%41%

CreweDrawAFC Wimbledon

Both teams to score: 53%
Double chance: 1X 59% · 12 63% · X2 78%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Wimbledon

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Crewe	AFC Wimbledon
Results
Goals scored per game	0.0	0.0
Goals conceded per game	0.0	0.0

CreweAFC Wimbledon

0%Form

0%Attack

0%Defence

0%Poisson

36%

64%Head to head

36%

64%Goals

36%

64%Overall

Head-to-head

1Crewe5Draws2AFC Wimbledon

11 Feb 2025AFC Wimbledon3 - 0CreweLeague Two
28 Jan 2025Crewe1 - 1AFC WimbledonLeague Two
23 Mar 2024Crewe1 - 1AFC WimbledonLeague Two
16 Sep 2023AFC Wimbledon2 - 2CreweLeague Two
7 Jan 2023Crewe0 - 0AFC WimbledonLeague Two
25 Oct 2022AFC Wimbledon1 - 1CreweLeague Two

Best odds (1X2)

Crewe2.56Pinnaclefair 37%

Draw3.35Betanofair 29%

AFC Wimbledon2.85Dafabetfair 34%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.1%.

Compare all Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Crewe	22%	37.2%	-15.2
Draw	37%	28.6%	+8.4
AFC Wimbledon	41%	34.3%	+6.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This FA Cup 1/128-finals fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT at Alexandra Stadium.

What the numbers say

AFC Wimbledon are the model’s favourites at 41%, 19 points clear of Crewe, while the draw is rated 37%.

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Crewe won 1, AFC Wimbledon won 2 and 5 ended level, an average of 2.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 11 Feb 2025, finished AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Crewe.

Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.56 for Crewe (Pinnacle), 3.35 for the draw (Betano) and 2.85 for AFC Wimbledon (Dafabet). With the margin removed the market reads 37% / 29% / 34%. Our model is 8.4 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 2.00 and under at 1.83.

Our Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

The selection we are backing in Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon or draw (78% confidence, best price 1.53). Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?: The model gives Crewe 22%, the draw 37% and AFC Wimbledon 41%. Our tip is AFC Wimbledon or draw.
When and where is Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?: Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, FA Cup (1/128-finals), Alexandra Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.