Football prediction

Brazil Serie A predictions Matchday 35

Atletico Mg vs Mirassol Prediction

Saturday 14 November, 22:30 WAT: Mirassol welcome Atletico-MG in the Serie A (matchday 35). Home win 32%, draw 34%, away win 34% according to our model, and the pick is Atletico-MG or draw (68%).

MirassolLWDLW

22:30Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

Atletico-MGWWLLL

José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Our prediction

Atletico-MG or draw68% probability · best odds 1.88

32%34%34%

MirassolDrawAtletico-MG

Most likely score: 1 - 0
Both teams to score: 55%
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.0
Double chance: 1X 66% · 12 66% · X2 68%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Mirassol	Atletico-MG
Results	LWDLW	WWLLL
Goals scored per game	1.0	1.0
Goals conceded per game	1.0	1.2

MirassolAtletico-MG

54%

46%Form

50%

50%Attack

55%

45%Defence

51%

49%Poisson

13%

88%Head to head

33%

67%Goals

43%

58%Overall

Head-to-head

0Mirassol1Draws2Atletico-MG

16 May 2026Atletico-MG3 - 1MirassolSerie A
28 Sep 2025Atletico-MG1 - 0MirassolSerie A
26 Apr 2025Mirassol2 - 2Atletico-MGSerie A

Best odds (1X2)

Mirassol2.051xBetfair 47%

Draw3.60Bet365fair 27%

Atletico-MG3.95Betanofair 26%

Compared across 9 bookmakers. Market margin 6.4%.

Compare all Mirassol vs Atletico-MG odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Mirassol	32%	47.2%	-15.2
Draw	34%	26.7%	+7.3
Atletico-MG	34%	26.1%	+7.9

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Serie A table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
7	Atletico-MG	34	+4	50	LLLWW
14	Mirassol	34	-9	40	WLDWL

Full Serie A table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Mirassol vs Atletico-MG: our prediction for 14 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 14 November, 22:30 WAT is the date for this Serie A matchday 35 meeting at José Maria de Campos Maia. Mirassol are 14th with 40 points from 34 games (goal difference -9); Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points from 34 (+4). The 10-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Mirassol and Atletico-MG form

Over their last 5 matches Mirassol have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (LWDLW). Atletico-MG are struggling for results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (WWLLL). Over those games Mirassol averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, Atletico-MG 1.0 and 1.2.

What the numbers say

The model sees little between the teams: Mirassol 32%, Atletico-MG 34%, with 34% on the draw. Expected goals come out at 1.1 for Mirassol and 1.0 for Atletico-MG, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 35% and both teams to score (GG) 42%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Mirassol in defence (55-45).

Head-to-head record

In the last 3 meetings Mirassol won 0, Atletico-MG won 2 and 1 ended level, an average of 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 2 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Atletico-MG 3-1 Mirassol.

Mirassol vs Atletico-MG odds

Across 9 bookmakers the best prices are 2.05 for Mirassol (1xBet), 3.60 for the draw (Bet365) and 3.95 for Atletico-MG (Betano). With the margin removed the market reads 47% / 27% / 26%. Our model is 7.9 points higher than the bookmakers on Atletico-MG – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.87 and under at 2.00.

Our Mirassol vs Atletico-MG prediction

Our pick for Mirassol vs Atletico-MG is Atletico-MG or draw, rated 68%, best price 1.88. Correct score suggestion: 1-0. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?: The model gives Mirassol 32%, the draw 34% and Atletico-MG 34%. Our tip is Atletico-MG or draw.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?: 1-0 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 1.1 and 1.0.
Will both teams score in Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?: GG is rated 42% by the model and the best GG price is 1.75.
When and where is Mirassol vs Atletico-MG?: Saturday 14 November, 22:30 WAT, Serie A (matchday 35), José Maria de Campos Maia.

Compare every market on the Mirassol vs Atletico-MG odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.