Football prediction

Süper Lig Matchday 11

Basaksehir vs Goztepe Prediction

Göztepe vs Başakşehir kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 17:00 WAT in the Süper Lig (matchday 11). The model gives Göztepe 46%, the draw 33% and Başakşehir 21%, and the pick is Göztepe or draw (79%).

GöztepeDWWWW

17:00Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

BaşakşehirWDWLW

Our prediction

Göztepe or draw79% probability · best odds 1.34

46%33%21%

GöztepeDrawBaşakşehir

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 61%
Expected goals: 1.7 – 1.5
Double chance: 1X 79% · 12 67% · X2 54%

Model advice: Double chance : Göztepe or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Göztepe	Başakşehir
Results	DWWWW	WDWLW
Goals scored per game	2.4	2.2
Goals conceded per game	0.8	1.0

GöztepeBaşakşehir

57%

43%Form

52%

48%Attack

56%

44%Defence

85%

15%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

50%

50%Goals

58%

42%Overall

Head-to-head

4Göztepe1Draws3Başakşehir

7 Mar 2026Başakşehir2 - 1GöztepeSüper Lig
5 Oct 2025Göztepe1 - 0BaşakşehirSüper Lig
28 Apr 2025Göztepe4 - 1BaşakşehirSüper Lig
30 Nov 2024Başakşehir4 - 1GöztepeSüper Lig
25 Feb 2023Göztepe0 - 0BaşakşehirFriendlies Clubs
20 Dec 2022Başakşehir3 - 1GöztepeTürkiye Kupası

Best odds (1X2)

Göztepe2.091xBetfair 46%

Draw3.781xBetfair 26%

Başakşehir3.481xBetfair 28%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 7.3%.

Compare all Göztepe vs Başakşehir odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Göztepe	46%	45.9%	+0.1
Draw	33%	25.8%	+7.2
Başakşehir	21%	28.3%	-7.3

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Göztepe vs Başakşehir preview, prediction and stats – 7 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 7 November, 17:00 WAT is the date for this Süper Lig matchday 11 meeting.

Göztepe and Başakşehir form

Göztepe arrive in strong form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats from their last 5 (DWWWW). Over their last 5 matches Başakşehir have managed 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (WDWLW). Over those games Göztepe averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, Başakşehir 2.2 and 1.0.

What the numbers say

Göztepe are the model’s favourites at 46%, 25 points clear of Başakşehir, while the draw is rated 33%. Expected goals come out at 1.7 for Göztepe and 1.5 for Başakşehir, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 62% and both teams to score (GG) 63%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Göztepe in defence (56-44), Göztepe in form (57-43).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Göztepe won 4, Başakşehir won 3 and 1 ended level, an average of 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 6 of them and 6 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Başakşehir 2-1 Göztepe.

Göztepe vs Başakşehir odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.09 for Göztepe (1xBet), 3.78 for the draw (1xBet) and 3.48 for Başakşehir (1xBet). With the margin removed the market reads 46% / 26% / 28%. Our model is 7.2 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.67 and under at 2.32.

Our Göztepe vs Başakşehir prediction

Our pick for Göztepe vs Başakşehir is Göztepe or draw, rated 79%, best price 1.34. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Göztepe vs Başakşehir?: The model gives Göztepe 46%, the draw 33% and Başakşehir 21%. Our tip is Göztepe or draw.
What is the predicted score for Göztepe vs Başakşehir?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (10%), from expected goals of 1.7 and 1.5.
Will both teams score in Göztepe vs Başakşehir?: GG is rated 63% by the model and the best GG price is 1.55.
When and where is Göztepe vs Başakşehir?: Saturday 7 November, 17:00 WAT, Süper Lig (matchday 11).

Compare every market on the Göztepe vs Başakşehir odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.