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Championship
Swansea SwanseaHome
DWWDW
Saturday, Sep 12, 2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Burnley BurnleyAway
LDLDL

Burnley vs Swansea Prediction

Double chance : Swansea or draw Review the Swansea vs Burnley prediction with probability split, expected goals, comparison signals and match context for Championship.

Match PredictionConnected model prediction
Current
Swansea45%
Draw45%
Burnley10%
Model adviceDouble chance : Swansea or drawStrongest probability: 45%
Likely Score-2.5–-2.5Expected goals
Goals MarketWhen returned by feed
Winner SignalSwanseaWin or draw
Double Chance1XOnly when supported

Key Match Insights

  • Swansea has the strongest current 1X2 model signal at 45%.
  • The connected prediction feed currently returns an expected-goals score of -2.5–-2.5.
  • Double chance : Swansea or draw

Model Comparison

Home vs away signal
Form85% / 15%
Attacking potential54% / 46%
Defensive potential92% / 8%
Poisson distribution100% / 0
Head to head20% / 80%
Goals H2H18% / 82%
Overall signal53.8% / 46.2%

Team Form

Last 5 completed matches
Swansea
DWWDW
Wrexham0–0D
Watford2–0W
Derby3–0W
Sheffield Utd0–0D
Stoke City2–1W
85% Form Rating 15%
Burnley
LDLDL
Bristol City1–2L
Middlesbrough1–1D
Norwich1–4L
Bradford0–0D
West Brom1–3L

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings
Swansea0–2Burnley
Burnley1–0Swansea
Swansea1–2Burnley
Burnley4–0Swansea
Swansea1–0Burnley
Burnley2–0Swansea

Top Prediction Signals for This Match

Strongest 1X2Swansea45%
Expected Score-2.5–-2.5Model goals
Goals SignalFeed market
Double Chance1XIf supported
Prediction analysis

Swansea vs Burnley prediction analysis