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USL Super League predictions Group stage

Carolina Ascent W vs Sporting Jax W Prediction

Sporting JAX W host Carolina Ascent W in the USL Super League (group stage) on Saturday 21 November, 23:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 10% / 45% / 45% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Carolina Ascent W or draw (90%).

Sporting JAX WDWDDD

23:00Sat 21 Nov 2026 · WAT

Carolina Ascent WWWDWD

Hodges Stadium

Our prediction

Carolina Ascent W or draw90% probability

10%45%45%

Sporting JAX WDrawCarolina Ascent W

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 69%
Expected goals: 1.7 – 1.9
Double chance: 1X 55% · 12 55% · X2 90%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Carolina Ascent W

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Sporting JAX W	Carolina Ascent W
Results	DWDDD	WWDWD
Goals scored per game	3.0	1.4
Goals conceded per game	2.4	0.4

Sporting JAX WCarolina Ascent W

39%

61%Form

68%

32%Attack

14%

86%Defence

24%

76%Poisson

50%

50%Head to head

47%

53%Goals

40%

60%Overall

Head-to-head

2Sporting JAX W2Draws2Carolina Ascent W

26 Sep 2026Carolina Ascent W3 - 3Sporting JAX WUSL Super League
24 May 2026Sporting JAX W0 - 1Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League
16 May 2026Carolina Ascent W3 - 1Sporting JAX WUSL Super League
31 Jan 2026Sporting JAX W1 - 0Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League
28 Sep 2025Carolina Ascent W3 - 4Sporting JAX WUSL Super League
13 Sep 2025Sporting JAX W2 - 2Carolina Ascent WUSL Super League

Best odds

Bookmaker prices for this fixture are not open yet. Markets usually open one to three days before kick-off.

USL Super League table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Carolina Ascent W	12	+12	27	DWDWW
4	Sporting JAX W	11	+5	17	DDDWD

Full USL Super League table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W prediction and preview (21 Nov 2026 WAT)

This USL Super League group stage fixture is played on Saturday 21 November, 23:00 WAT at Hodges Stadium. Sporting JAX W are 4th with 17 points from 11 games (goal difference +5); Carolina Ascent W are 1st with 27 points from 12 (+12). The 10-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Sporting JAX W and Carolina Ascent W form

Over their last 5 matches Sporting JAX W have managed 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats (DWDDD). Carolina Ascent W have a mixed recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (WWDWD) across their last 5. Over those games Sporting JAX W averaged 3.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match, Carolina Ascent W 1.4 and 0.4.

What the numbers say

Carolina Ascent W are the model’s favourites at 45%, 35 points clear of Sporting JAX W, while the draw is rated 45%. Expected goals come out at 1.7 for Sporting JAX W and 1.9 for Carolina Ascent W, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 69% and both teams to score (GG) 69%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Sporting JAX W in attack (68-32), Carolina Ascent W in defence (86-14), Carolina Ascent W in form (61-39).

Head-to-head record

In the last 6 meetings Sporting JAX W won 2, Carolina Ascent W won 2 and 2 ended level, an average of 3.8 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 26 Sep 2026, finished Carolina Ascent W 3-3 Sporting JAX W.

Our Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W prediction

The selection we are backing in Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W: Carolina Ascent W or draw (90% confidence). Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W?: The model gives Sporting JAX W 10%, the draw 45% and Carolina Ascent W 45%. Our tip is Carolina Ascent W or draw.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (9%), from expected goals of 1.7 and 1.9.
Will both teams score in Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W?: GG is rated 69% by the model.
When and where is Sporting JAX W vs Carolina Ascent W?: Saturday 21 November, 23:00 WAT, USL Super League (group stage), Hodges Stadium.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.

Prediction history

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